HWKN
Hawkins, Inc. Basic Materials - Specialty Chemicals Investor Relations →
Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) closed at $128.03 as of 2026-07-31, trading 28.8% above its 200-week moving average of $99.41. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 40.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 24, HWKN is in oversold territory.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.69 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 2371 weeks of data, HWKN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HWKN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.5%.
With a market cap of $2.7 billion, HWKN is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.0%. Return on equity stands at 15.6%, a solid level. The stock trades at 6.0x book value.
HWKN passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HWKN would have grown to $8668, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.2% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming HWKN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 43.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HWKN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HWKN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying HWKN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.9% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +49.3% vs +31.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HWKN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HWKN would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HWKN's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $136.94 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $145.02 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $154.12 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $164.44 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $176.23 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from HWKN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
HWKN has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +31.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1981 | May 1981 | 10 | 13.2% | +25.0% | +37337.1% |
| Jun 1981 | Jul 1981 | 5 | 4.3% | +7.7% | +34457.3% |
| Sep 1981 | Feb 1982 | 22 | 11.7% | +33.3% | +37337.1% |
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 2 | 10.3% | +91.7% | +37337.1% |
| May 1984 | Mar 1985 | 43 | 30.0% | +18.7% | +27977.8% |
| Mar 1986 | Apr 1986 | 3 | 1.7% | +36.8% | +23544.5% |
| Apr 1986 | May 1986 | 1 | 2.2% | +30.7% | +23544.5% |
| May 1986 | Jan 1987 | 33 | 24.3% | +33.4% | +23544.5% |
| Dec 1987 | Dec 1987 | 3 | 2.9% | +76.2% | +23229.2% |
| Aug 1990 | Aug 1990 | 1 | 3.4% | +33.9% | +14523.4% |
| Sep 1990 | Sep 1990 | 1 | 0.8% | +22.6% | +14035.9% |
| Dec 1996 | Dec 1996 | 1 | 0.8% | +54.3% | +6968.9% |
| Jan 1997 | Jan 1997 | 1 | 3.3% | +47.8% | +7099.8% |
| Feb 1997 | May 1997 | 11 | 7.9% | +51.6% | +6968.9% |
| May 1999 | Jan 2001 | 85 | 15.1% | -9.5% | +5275.5% |
| Apr 2001 | Dec 2001 | 34 | 14.9% | +26.1% | +5266.6% |
| Feb 2002 | Mar 2002 | 1 | 0.9% | +3.7% | +5116.5% |
| Sep 2002 | Sep 2002 | 1 | 1.3% | +57.1% | +5198.7% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 3 | 6.1% | +52.3% | +2486.0% |
| Jan 2014 | Mar 2014 | 8 | 6.7% | +12.9% | +781.1% |
| Apr 2014 | Jun 2014 | 10 | 5.7% | +14.8% | +760.8% |
| Jul 2014 | Sep 2014 | 8 | 5.4% | +11.5% | +754.7% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 5 | 8.4% | +8.0% | +760.7% |
| Jul 2015 | Aug 2015 | 2 | 6.2% | +29.5% | +783.5% |
| Dec 2015 | Mar 2016 | 15 | 15.3% | +53.2% | +767.9% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2017 | 6 | 7.9% | +10.4% | +683.2% |
| Oct 2017 | Jul 2018 | 39 | 19.7% | +5.7% | +689.1% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 5 | 13.2% | +14.9% | +704.8% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 0.7% | +10.4% | +628.6% |
| Mar 2019 | Jun 2019 | 12 | 8.8% | -6.8% | +660.2% |
| Feb 2020 | May 2020 | 12 | 21.8% | +78.3% | +667.9% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 1 | 0.6% | +72.0% | +598.3% |
| Average | 12 | — | +31.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HWKN below its 200-week moving average?
No. Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) is currently 28.8% above its 200-week moving average of $99.41. It would need to fall to $99.41 to cross below the line.
What is HWKN's 200-week moving average price?
Hawkins, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $99.41 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HWKN drops below its 200-week moving average?
HWKN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +31.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is HWKN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HWKN as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 24 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 3.0%. Return on equity is 15.6%. Price-to-book is 6.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HWKN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in HWKN would have grown to $8668, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 14.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. HWKN has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HWKN pay a dividend?
Yes. Hawkins, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 62.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31