HWKN
Hawkins, Inc. Basic Materials - Specialty Chemicals Investor Relations →
Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) closed at $122.20 as of 2026-09-18, trading 19.6% above its 200-week moving average of $102.21. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 21.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 30, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.75 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2378 weeks of data, HWKN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HWKN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.5%.
With a market cap of $2.6 billion, HWKN is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.2%. Return on equity stands at 15.6%, a solid level. The stock trades at 5.8x book value.
HWKN passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HWKN would have grown to $8286, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.0% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming HWKN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 43.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HWKN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HWKN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying HWKN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.9% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +49.3% vs +31.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HWKN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HWKN would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HWKN's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $118.57 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $126.63 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $135.86 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $146.55 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $159.07 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | $1.54 | $1.36 | -11.6% |
| 2026-05-13 | $0.85 | $0.74 | -12.8% |
| 2026-01-28 | $0.72 | $0.70 | -2.6% |
| 2025-10-29 | $1.23 | $1.09 | -11.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from HWKN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
HWKN has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +31.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1981 | May 1981 | 10 | 13.2% | +25.0% | +35688.3% |
| Jun 1981 | Jul 1981 | 5 | 4.3% | +7.7% | +32935.3% |
| Sep 1981 | Feb 1982 | 22 | 11.7% | +33.3% | +35688.3% |
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 2 | 10.3% | +91.7% | +35688.3% |
| May 1984 | Mar 1985 | 43 | 30.0% | +18.7% | +26741.2% |
| Mar 1986 | Apr 1986 | 3 | 1.7% | +36.8% | +22503.1% |
| Apr 1986 | May 1986 | 1 | 2.2% | +30.7% | +22503.1% |
| May 1986 | Jan 1987 | 33 | 24.3% | +33.4% | +22503.1% |
| Dec 1987 | Dec 1987 | 3 | 2.9% | +76.2% | +22201.7% |
| Aug 1990 | Aug 1990 | 1 | 3.4% | +33.9% | +13879.3% |
| Sep 1990 | Sep 1990 | 1 | 0.8% | +22.6% | +13413.3% |
| Dec 1996 | Dec 1996 | 1 | 0.8% | +54.3% | +6657.6% |
| Jan 1997 | Jan 1997 | 1 | 3.3% | +47.8% | +6782.7% |
| Feb 1997 | May 1997 | 11 | 7.9% | +51.6% | +6657.6% |
| May 1999 | Jan 2001 | 85 | 15.1% | -9.5% | +5038.8% |
| Apr 2001 | Dec 2001 | 34 | 14.9% | +26.1% | +5030.2% |
| Feb 2002 | Mar 2002 | 1 | 0.9% | +3.7% | +4886.8% |
| Sep 2002 | Sep 2002 | 1 | 1.3% | +57.1% | +4965.4% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 3 | 6.1% | +52.3% | +2372.1% |
| Jan 2014 | Mar 2014 | 8 | 6.7% | +12.9% | +742.3% |
| Apr 2014 | Jun 2014 | 10 | 5.7% | +14.8% | +722.9% |
| Jul 2014 | Sep 2014 | 8 | 5.4% | +11.5% | +717.0% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 5 | 8.4% | +8.0% | +722.7% |
| Jul 2015 | Aug 2015 | 2 | 6.2% | +29.5% | +744.5% |
| Dec 2015 | Mar 2016 | 15 | 15.3% | +53.2% | +729.7% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2017 | 6 | 7.9% | +10.4% | +648.7% |
| Oct 2017 | Jul 2018 | 39 | 19.7% | +5.7% | +654.4% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 5 | 13.2% | +14.9% | +669.4% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 0.7% | +10.4% | +596.5% |
| Mar 2019 | Jun 2019 | 12 | 8.8% | -6.8% | +626.8% |
| Feb 2020 | May 2020 | 12 | 21.8% | +78.3% | +634.1% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 1 | 0.6% | +72.0% | +567.6% |
| Average | 12 | — | +31.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HWKN below its 200-week moving average?
No. Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) is currently 19.6% above its 200-week moving average of $102.21. It would need to fall to $102.21 to cross below the line.
What is HWKN's 200-week moving average price?
Hawkins, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $102.21 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HWKN drops below its 200-week moving average?
HWKN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +31.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is HWKN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HWKN as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 30. Free cash flow yield is 3.2%. Return on equity is 15.6%. Price-to-book is 5.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HWKN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in HWKN would have grown to $8286, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 14.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. HWKN has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HWKN pay a dividend?
Yes. Hawkins, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 66.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18