HWC
Hancock Whitney Corporation Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →
Hancock Whitney Corporation (HWC) closed at $74.95 as of 2026-09-18, trading 47.8% above its 200-week moving average of $50.71. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 48.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.86 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1793 weeks of data, HWC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HWC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.1%.
With a market cap of $6.0 billion, HWC is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 9.7%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HWC would have grown to $2128, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. HWC has returned 9.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -13.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HWC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HWC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 31 historical episodes, buying HWC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.1% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +5.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.1% vs +21.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HWC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HWC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HWC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-13.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $71.62 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $74.87 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $78.42 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $82.33 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $86.65 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | $1.55 | $1.55 | — |
| 2026-04-21 | $1.50 | $1.52 | +1.5% |
| 2026-01-20 | $1.49 | $1.49 | -0.1% |
| 2025-10-14 | $1.43 | $1.49 | +4.0% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from HWC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
HWC has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +7.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1999 | Mar 2001 | 85 | 29.5% | -22.9% | +1014.4% |
| Apr 2001 | Jul 2001 | 13 | 9.7% | +35.6% | +975.1% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 1.3% | +72.4% | +992.6% |
| Oct 2001 | Nov 2001 | 4 | 5.0% | +80.9% | +1009.9% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 3 | 9.7% | +31.5% | +273.6% |
| Oct 2007 | Nov 2007 | 4 | 5.8% | +32.2% | +251.0% |
| Dec 2007 | Dec 2007 | 1 | 4.7% | +14.4% | +255.9% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 3 | 8.7% | +28.0% | +261.3% |
| Feb 2008 | Mar 2008 | 5 | 4.6% | -24.4% | +236.1% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 2 | 5.5% | -14.2% | +241.5% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2008 | 1 | 8.5% | +12.9% | +238.5% |
| Dec 2008 | Dec 2008 | 1 | 0.9% | +5.1% | +211.0% |
| Jan 2009 | Nov 2009 | 45 | 41.2% | +22.3% | +226.1% |
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 1 | 3.3% | -14.1% | +211.2% |
| May 2010 | Jan 2012 | 88 | 25.9% | -14.7% | +213.9% |
| Jan 2012 | Mar 2012 | 6 | 6.1% | +1.0% | +256.4% |
| Apr 2012 | Sep 2012 | 20 | 14.6% | -16.6% | +242.4% |
| Sep 2012 | Dec 2012 | 14 | 5.8% | +3.9% | +261.0% |
| Jan 2013 | Jul 2013 | 23 | 15.0% | +17.3% | +252.8% |
| Dec 2014 | Dec 2014 | 1 | 3.0% | -11.8% | +255.7% |
| Jan 2015 | Jun 2015 | 21 | 14.6% | -9.9% | +285.9% |
| Jul 2015 | Jul 2016 | 54 | 25.8% | -9.4% | +242.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 8.5% | +19.9% | +155.5% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 0.1% | -57.9% | +146.3% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 1.8% | -41.4% | +145.8% |
| Jul 2019 | Oct 2019 | 12 | 12.4% | -48.8% | +140.6% |
| Jan 2020 | Jan 2021 | 49 | 61.9% | -10.4% | +129.9% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 3 | 8.3% | +58.5% | +156.5% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 11 | 16.2% | +21.5% | +132.3% |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 2023 | 2 | 3.1% | +24.0% | +120.7% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 9 | 14.5% | +34.0% | +114.0% |
| Average | 16 | — | +7.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HWC below its 200-week moving average?
No. Hancock Whitney Corporation (HWC) is currently 47.8% above its 200-week moving average of $50.71. It would need to fall to $50.71 to cross below the line.
What is HWC's 200-week moving average price?
Hancock Whitney Corporation's 200-week moving average is $50.71 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HWC drops below its 200-week moving average?
HWC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is HWC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HWC as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 56. Return on equity is 9.7%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HWC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in HWC would have grown to $2128, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 9.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. HWC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HWC pay a dividend?
Yes. Hancock Whitney Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 268.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18