HURN
Huron Consulting Group Inc. Industrials - Consulting Services Investor Relations →
Huron Consulting Group Inc. (HURN) closed at $158.33 as of 2026-09-18, trading 37.2% above its 200-week moving average of $115.38. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 30.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 71, HURN is in overbought territory.
Over the past 14 weeks, up-weeks have carried more volume than down-weeks (1.69 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When trading picks up, it's more often on days the price is rising — buyers are showing more interest than sellers.
Over the past 1096 weeks of data, HURN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HURN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.9%.
With a market cap of $2.5 billion, HURN is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 26.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 21.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HURN would have grown to $590, compared to $909 for the S&P 500. HURN has returned 8.8% annualized vs 11.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 38.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HURN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HURN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying HURN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.3% after 12 months (median +20.0%), compared to +14.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 55% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +25.0% vs +35.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HURN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HURN would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HURN's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $85.31 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $98.51 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $116.54 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $142.66 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $183.86 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | $2.17 | $2.46 | +13.2% |
| 2026-05-05 | $1.60 | $1.73 | +8.0% |
| 2026-02-24 | $1.95 | $2.17 | +11.3% |
| 2025-10-28 | $1.87 | $2.10 | +12.3% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from HURN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
HURN has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +10.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.1% | +1.1% | +280.8% |
| Feb 2009 | Jun 2009 | 16 | 20.3% | -45.2% | +256.3% |
| Jun 2009 | Oct 2011 | 122 | 73.2% | -54.8% | +236.8% |
| Nov 2011 | Dec 2011 | 4 | 7.9% | -6.3% | +368.6% |
| Apr 2012 | Jul 2012 | 12 | 9.2% | +24.5% | +376.8% |
| Oct 2012 | Nov 2012 | 1 | 1.4% | +90.7% | +426.5% |
| Oct 2015 | Nov 2015 | 2 | 11.9% | +21.5% | +239.6% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 1 | 0.9% | +3.2% | +198.7% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 3 | 6.3% | -12.0% | +205.4% |
| Apr 2016 | Apr 2016 | 1 | 1.5% | -22.9% | +191.2% |
| Apr 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 0.0% | -20.0% | +184.7% |
| Oct 2016 | Oct 2018 | 108 | 49.0% | -37.5% | +173.0% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2019 | 7 | 6.1% | +43.2% | +224.1% |
| Feb 2019 | May 2019 | 12 | 6.9% | +23.8% | +230.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 19.0% | +27.2% | +296.2% |
| Apr 2020 | Dec 2020 | 32 | 19.6% | +19.8% | +237.1% |
| Jul 2021 | Aug 2021 | 6 | 5.9% | +30.1% | +223.1% |
| Aug 2021 | Sep 2021 | 2 | 1.3% | +33.3% | +220.2% |
| Oct 2021 | Oct 2021 | 1 | 1.1% | +45.4% | +219.7% |
| Nov 2021 | Apr 2022 | 21 | 14.3% | +53.2% | +219.2% |
| May 2026 | Jul 2026 | 9 | 18.4% | N/A | +50.1% |
| Average | 17 | — | +10.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HURN below its 200-week moving average?
No. Huron Consulting Group Inc. (HURN) is currently 37.2% above its 200-week moving average of $115.38. It would need to fall to $115.38 to cross below the line.
What is HURN's 200-week moving average price?
Huron Consulting Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $115.38 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HURN drops below its 200-week moving average?
HURN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is HURN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HURN as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 71 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 6.0%. Return on equity is 26.9%. Price-to-book is 6.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HURN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 21.1 years, $100 invested in HURN would have grown to $590, compared to $909 for the S&P 500. That's 8.8% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. HURN has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18