HUBB
Hubbell Incorporated Industrials - Electrical Equipment & Parts Investor Relations →
Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) closed at $446.92 as of 2026-09-18, trading 19.0% above its 200-week moving average of $375.43. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 23.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.95 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2784 weeks of data, HUBB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HUBB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.0%.
With a market cap of $23.6 billion, HUBB is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.1%. Return on equity stands at 24.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.0x book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HUBB would have grown to $65922, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 21.2% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming HUBB as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 24.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HUBB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HUBB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying HUBB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +19.1% after 12 months (median +28.0%), compared to +11.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +35.1% vs +22.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HUBB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HUBB would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HUBB's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-27.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $441.07 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $462.13 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $485.31 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $510.93 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $539.41 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | $5.39 | $5.52 | +2.4% |
| 2026-04-30 | $3.86 | $3.93 | +1.7% |
| 2026-02-03 | $4.72 | $4.73 | +0.2% |
| 2025-10-28 | $4.98 | $5.17 | +3.9% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from HUBB's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
HUBB has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +19.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1973 | Nov 1976 | 185 | 9.1% | N/A | +261936.2% |
| Aug 1977 | Jun 1981 | 199 | 14.3% | N/A | +305833.5% |
| Sep 1998 | Oct 1998 | 3 | 5.2% | -4.3% | +2576.5% |
| Dec 1998 | Dec 1998 | 1 | 1.2% | -23.8% | +2500.1% |
| Jan 1999 | Mar 1999 | 7 | 6.5% | -17.6% | +2611.1% |
| Aug 1999 | Dec 2001 | 125 | 41.5% | -25.7% | +2316.5% |
| Jan 2002 | Jan 2002 | 1 | 2.6% | +21.3% | +2777.1% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 1.5% | +47.0% | +2815.2% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 3 | 7.7% | -23.2% | +1406.9% |
| Mar 2008 | May 2008 | 10 | 8.1% | -45.2% | +1428.7% |
| Jun 2008 | Oct 2009 | 70 | 45.5% | -15.3% | +1413.4% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 0.2% | +60.3% | +1429.8% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 5.7% | +76.0% | +1518.7% |
| Sep 2015 | Nov 2015 | 10 | 11.4% | +11.8% | +490.0% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 2 | 5.3% | +25.7% | +488.2% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 9.5% | +27.9% | +487.3% |
| Apr 2018 | May 2018 | 4 | 2.5% | +21.0% | +403.7% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 0.1% | +26.9% | +395.6% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 6.7% | +43.2% | +422.2% |
| Nov 2018 | Jan 2019 | 10 | 10.2% | +42.2% | +393.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 15.6% | +94.8% | +417.3% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 1.5% | +75.2% | +339.9% |
| Average | 30 | — | +19.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HUBB below its 200-week moving average?
No. Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) is currently 19.0% above its 200-week moving average of $375.43. It would need to fall to $375.43 to cross below the line.
What is HUBB's 200-week moving average price?
Hubbell Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $375.43 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HUBB drops below its 200-week moving average?
HUBB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +19.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 30 weeks on average.
Is HUBB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HUBB as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 43. Free cash flow yield is 2.1%. Return on equity is 24.4%. Price-to-book is 6.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HUBB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in HUBB would have grown to $65922, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 21.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. HUBB has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HUBB pay a dividend?
Yes. Hubbell Incorporated currently pays a dividend yield of 127.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18