HST
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Hotel & Motel Investor Relations →
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) closed at $21.84 as of 2026-09-18, trading 35.9% above its 200-week moving average of $16.08. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 38.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 36, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2378 weeks of data, HST has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HST at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.4%.
With a market cap of $15.2 billion, HST is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 15.6%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HST would have grown to $1856, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. HST has returned 9.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -1.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HST vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HST Crosses Below the Line?
Across 30 historical episodes, buying HST when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.2% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +14.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.1% vs +31.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HST crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HST would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HST's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $20.60 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $22.87 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $25.71 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $29.36 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $34.21 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | $0.34 | $0.35 | +4.4% |
| 2026-05-06 | $0.33 | $0.72 | +116.0% |
| 2026-02-17 | $0.19 | $0.20 | +4.1% |
| 2025-11-05 | $0.04 | $0.23 | +428.2% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from HST's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
HST has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +8.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1988 | Sep 1988 | 3 | 2.7% | +45.5% | +1664.1% |
| Jan 1990 | Jan 1993 | 156 | 71.2% | -67.4% | +1407.7% |
| Aug 1998 | Dec 1998 | 17 | 29.7% | -9.9% | +443.8% |
| Jan 1999 | Apr 1999 | 12 | 14.9% | -20.0% | +382.5% |
| May 1999 | Nov 2000 | 79 | 33.9% | -16.9% | +373.3% |
| Sep 2001 | Jan 2002 | 19 | 38.1% | +57.1% | +653.9% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 2.6% | +3.5% | +396.8% |
| Sep 2002 | Jul 2003 | 41 | 36.2% | +11.4% | +399.5% |
| Aug 2003 | Aug 2003 | 1 | 1.2% | +29.1% | +394.2% |
| Dec 2007 | Mar 2010 | 120 | 79.1% | -55.6% | +147.1% |
| Apr 2010 | Apr 2010 | 1 | 1.1% | +16.9% | +167.5% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 3 | 6.7% | +21.0% | +177.5% |
| Jun 2010 | Sep 2010 | 12 | 10.1% | +12.3% | +171.0% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 17.7% | +28.2% | +221.4% |
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 5 | 7.9% | +6.5% | +103.4% |
| Oct 2015 | Jul 2016 | 39 | 24.3% | -1.5% | +108.9% |
| Sep 2016 | Nov 2016 | 12 | 12.9% | +17.5% | +105.2% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 2.7% | +18.8% | +81.6% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 5 | 6.3% | -27.8% | +74.0% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 4 | 1.4% | -29.9% | +72.1% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 2 | 2.8% | -15.6% | +72.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Feb 2021 | 51 | 45.2% | +16.6% | +94.9% |
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2021 | 1 | 1.2% | +9.2% | +75.5% |
| Jul 2021 | Aug 2021 | 6 | 5.9% | +0.4% | +73.5% |
| Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | 0.6% | +14.7% | +73.4% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 3 | 3.6% | +21.7% | +79.5% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 1 | 1.3% | +12.0% | +75.6% |
| Sep 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 0.4% | +4.4% | +74.4% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 2 | 2.7% | +40.6% | +74.9% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 0.6% | +23.4% | +73.3% |
| Feb 2025 | Jun 2025 | 18 | 17.3% | +28.7% | +50.5% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 3 | 2.8% | +75.1% | +52.2% |
| Average | 20 | — | +8.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HST below its 200-week moving average?
No. Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) is currently 35.9% above its 200-week moving average of $16.08. It would need to fall to $16.08 to cross below the line.
What is HST's 200-week moving average price?
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $16.08 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HST drops below its 200-week moving average?
HST has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +8.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is HST a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HST as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 36. Free cash flow yield is 11.2%. Return on equity is 15.6%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HST compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in HST would have grown to $1856, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 9.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. HST has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HST pay a dividend?
Yes. Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 365.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18