HRL
Hormel Foods Corporation Consumer Staples - Food Investor Relations →
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) closed at $24.93 as of 2026-02-02, trading 23.7% below its 200-week moving average of $32.66. This places HRL in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -24.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, HRL is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, HRL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HRL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.1%.
With a market cap of $13.7 billion, HRL is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.1%. Return on equity stands at 6.0%. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
HRL is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 469.00%.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HRL would have grown to $1664, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. HRL has returned 8.8% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -14.5% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: HRL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HRL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying HRL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +33.5% after 12 months (median +39.0%), compared to +8.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 90% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.1% vs +20.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HRL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HRL has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +34.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1981 | Mar 1981 | 1 | 1.7% | +19.5% | +22014.5% |
| Apr 1981 | May 1981 | 3 | 1.7% | +40.0% | +21674.3% |
| Aug 1981 | Nov 1981 | 13 | 11.1% | +10.7% | +21508.1% |
| Mar 1994 | May 1994 | 7 | 2.2% | +44.2% | +1920.3% |
| Jul 1996 | Sep 1996 | 9 | 5.7% | +32.7% | +1568.5% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 4 | 5.3% | +43.9% | +1026.6% |
| Apr 2000 | May 2000 | 2 | 1.5% | +37.1% | +1016.0% |
| Aug 2000 | Sep 2000 | 4 | 4.2% | +67.7% | +1010.0% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 1 | 2.2% | +46.0% | +705.5% |
| Oct 2008 | May 2009 | 32 | 22.1% | +11.7% | +358.3% |
| Oct 2017 | Oct 2017 | 1 | 0.5% | +38.3% | +2.3% |
| Sep 2021 | Oct 2021 | 3 | 2.4% | +17.4% | -29.4% |
| Feb 2023 | Ongoing | 154+ | 37.4% | Ongoing | -31.4% |
| Average | 18 | — | +34.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02