HOPE
Hope Bancorp, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
Hope Bancorp, Inc. (HOPE) closed at $14.01 as of 2026-07-31, trading 35.8% above its 200-week moving average of $10.31. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 30.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 69, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.03 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1439 weeks of data, HOPE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 40 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HOPE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.7%.
With a market cap of $1790 million, HOPE is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 5.7%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Share count has increased 7.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 27.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HOPE would have grown to $1322, compared to $944 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 9.8% vs 8.5% for the index — confirming HOPE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -31.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HOPE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HOPE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying HOPE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.5% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +15.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.1% vs +18.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HOPE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HOPE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HOPE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $11.37 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $11.89 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $12.46 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $13.09 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $13.78 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from HOPE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
HOPE has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +10.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1999 | May 1999 | 18 | 22.3% | +20.7% | +1300.3% |
| Aug 1999 | Jul 2000 | 47 | 22.2% | +6.6% | +1016.0% |
| May 2007 | Feb 2011 | 195 | 84.7% | -25.6% | +47.2% |
| Mar 2011 | Oct 2011 | 33 | 31.2% | +7.3% | +146.1% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 1.1% | +36.4% | +180.9% |
| Sep 2017 | Sep 2017 | 1 | 0.3% | +16.0% | +35.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Feb 2021 | 124 | 52.5% | -4.5% | +31.6% |
| Mar 2023 | Dec 2023 | 40 | 35.9% | +4.0% | +43.8% |
| Jan 2024 | Jul 2024 | 23 | 11.4% | +12.1% | +45.4% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 1.4% | +7.1% | +32.6% |
| Feb 2025 | Jun 2025 | 20 | 19.3% | +13.1% | +31.9% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 4 | 10.8% | +35.8% | +41.5% |
| Sep 2025 | Nov 2025 | 8 | 5.3% | N/A | +34.7% |
| Average | 40 | — | +10.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HOPE below its 200-week moving average?
No. Hope Bancorp, Inc. (HOPE) is currently 35.8% above its 200-week moving average of $10.31. It would need to fall to $10.31 to cross below the line.
What is HOPE's 200-week moving average price?
Hope Bancorp, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $10.31 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HOPE drops below its 200-week moving average?
HOPE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 40 weeks on average.
Is HOPE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HOPE as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 69. Return on equity is 5.7%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HOPE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 27.6 years, $100 invested in HOPE would have grown to $1322, compared to $944 for the S&P 500. That's 9.8% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. HOPE has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HOPE pay a dividend?
Yes. Hope Bancorp, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 399.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31