HOPE
Hope Bancorp, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
Hope Bancorp, Inc. (HOPE) closed at $12.51 as of 2026-02-02, trading 20.8% above its 200-week moving average of $10.35. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 14.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 83, HOPE is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1414 weeks of data, HOPE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 40 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HOPE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.0%.
With a market cap of $1604 million, HOPE is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 2.8%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
Over the past 27.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HOPE would have grown to $1168, compared to $868 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 9.5% vs 8.3% for the index — confirming HOPE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -30.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: HOPE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HOPE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying HOPE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.4% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +15.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.0% vs +18.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HOPE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HOPE has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +8.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1999 | May 1999 | 18 | 22.3% | +20.7% | +1136.4% |
| Aug 1999 | Jul 2000 | 47 | 22.2% | +6.6% | +885.4% |
| May 2007 | Feb 2011 | 195 | 84.7% | -25.6% | +30.0% |
| Mar 2011 | Oct 2011 | 33 | 31.2% | +7.3% | +117.3% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 1.0% | +36.4% | +148.1% |
| Sep 2017 | Sep 2017 | 1 | 0.2% | +16.0% | +19.5% |
| Oct 2018 | Feb 2021 | 124 | 52.4% | -4.5% | +16.2% |
| Mar 2023 | Dec 2023 | 40 | 35.8% | +4.0% | +26.9% |
| Jan 2024 | Jul 2024 | 23 | 11.4% | +12.1% | +28.4% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 1.3% | +7.1% | +17.1% |
| Feb 2025 | Jun 2025 | 20 | 19.2% | N/A | +16.5% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 4 | 12.0% | N/A | +24.9% |
| Sep 2025 | Nov 2025 | 8 | 5.2% | N/A | +18.9% |
| Average | 40 | — | +8.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02