HOMB
Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) (HOMB) closed at $30.59 as of 2026-02-02, trading 27.4% above its 200-week moving average of $24.00. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 20.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 78, HOMB is in overbought territory.
Over the past 976 weeks of data, HOMB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HOMB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.0%.
With a market cap of $6.0 billion, HOMB is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 11.5%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Share count has increased 21.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 18.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HOMB would have grown to $925, compared to $638 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.5% vs 10.3% for the index — confirming HOMB as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 3.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: HOMB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HOMB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying HOMB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.7% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +9.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +31.9% vs +18.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HOMB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HOMB has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +24.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2007 | Aug 2007 | 11 | 11.5% | +3.7% | +824.9% |
| Aug 2007 | Oct 2007 | 5 | 6.8% | +20.1% | +849.3% |
| Oct 2007 | Apr 2008 | 26 | 12.9% | +25.7% | +851.6% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 1 | 2.8% | -3.9% | +867.3% |
| Jan 2009 | Mar 2009 | 10 | 28.5% | +21.0% | +803.8% |
| May 2009 | Jul 2009 | 10 | 10.5% | +41.6% | +846.1% |
| Aug 2009 | Sep 2009 | 5 | 3.0% | +18.4% | +801.9% |
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 | 2.1% | +72.0% | +723.1% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2020 | 111 | 46.1% | -5.7% | +85.1% |
| Dec 2020 | Dec 2020 | 1 | 1.0% | +28.6% | +85.2% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 1.3% | +28.8% | +66.6% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 1.8% | +37.6% | +62.0% |
| Average | 15 | — | +24.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02