HOMB
Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) (HOMB) closed at $26.12 as of 2026-03-20, trading 8.4% above its 200-week moving average of $24.09. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 9.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 37, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.98 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 982 weeks of data, HOMB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HOMB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.0%.
With a market cap of $5.1 billion, HOMB is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 11.5%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Over the past 18.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HOMB would have grown to $795, compared to $601 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.6% vs 9.9% for the index — confirming HOMB as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -1.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HOMB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HOMB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying HOMB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.7% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +9.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +31.9% vs +18.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HOMB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HOMB has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +24.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2007 | Aug 2007 | 11 | 11.5% | +3.7% | +695.3% |
| Aug 2007 | Oct 2007 | 5 | 6.8% | +20.1% | +716.3% |
| Oct 2007 | Apr 2008 | 26 | 12.9% | +25.7% | +718.2% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 1 | 2.8% | -3.9% | +731.7% |
| Jan 2009 | Mar 2009 | 10 | 28.5% | +21.0% | +677.2% |
| May 2009 | Jul 2009 | 10 | 10.5% | +41.6% | +713.5% |
| Aug 2009 | Sep 2009 | 5 | 3.0% | +18.4% | +675.5% |
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 | 2.1% | +72.0% | +607.7% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2020 | 111 | 46.1% | -5.7% | +59.2% |
| Dec 2020 | Dec 2020 | 1 | 1.0% | +28.6% | +59.2% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 1.3% | +28.8% | +43.3% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 1.8% | +37.6% | +39.3% |
| Average | 15 | — | +24.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HOMB below its 200-week moving average?
No. Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) (HOMB) is currently 8.4% above its 200-week moving average of $24.09. It would need to fall to $24.09 to cross below the line.
What is HOMB's 200-week moving average price?
Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR)'s 200-week moving average is $24.09 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HOMB drops below its 200-week moving average?
HOMB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +24.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is HOMB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HOMB as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 37. Return on equity is 11.5%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HOMB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.9 years, $100 invested in HOMB would have grown to $795, compared to $601 for the S&P 500. That's 11.6% annualized vs 9.9% for the index. HOMB has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HOMB pay a dividend?
Yes. Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) currently pays a dividend yield of 314.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20