HOLX
Hologic, Inc. Healthcare - Medical Instruments & Supplies Investor Relations →
Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) closed at $75.41 as of 2026-03-20, trading 3.2% above its 200-week moving average of $73.07. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 2.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.1x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 1833 weeks of data, HOLX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 38 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HOLX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.9%.
With a market cap of $16.8 billion, HOLX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 10.9%. The stock trades at 3.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.9% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HOLX would have grown to $11771, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.4% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming HOLX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -23.2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HOLX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HOLX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying HOLX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.4% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +18.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +69.2% vs +38.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HOLX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HOLX has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +19.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1991 | Feb 1992 | 52 | 58.8% | +68.8% | +7441.0% |
| Feb 1992 | May 1994 | 115 | 62.9% | -55.8% | +5511.9% |
| Jun 1998 | Nov 2001 | 179 | 85.1% | -59.8% | +1498.1% |
| Dec 2001 | Dec 2001 | 1 | 0.6% | +39.9% | +3161.0% |
| Feb 2003 | Mar 2003 | 5 | 12.6% | +146.0% | +3628.6% |
| Jul 2008 | Feb 2011 | 132 | 56.3% | -21.1% | +304.8% |
| Jul 2011 | Dec 2011 | 21 | 17.5% | +0.2% | +306.1% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 1 | 2.1% | +27.1% | +362.1% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 0.3% | +24.3% | +97.3% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 1.1% | +35.4% | +96.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 5 | 27.0% | +74.4% | +85.8% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 6 | 6.7% | +16.5% | +8.7% |
| Dec 2023 | Dec 2023 | 1 | 2.8% | +10.2% | +10.3% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 2 | 2.3% | -9.8% | +5.0% |
| Dec 2024 | Oct 2025 | 45 | 26.9% | +1.8% | +2.4% |
| Average | 38 | — | +19.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HOLX below its 200-week moving average?
No. Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) is currently 3.2% above its 200-week moving average of $73.07. It would need to fall to $73.07 to cross below the line.
What is HOLX's 200-week moving average price?
Hologic, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $73.07 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HOLX drops below its 200-week moving average?
HOLX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +19.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 38 weeks on average.
Is HOLX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HOLX as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow yield is 5.0%. Return on equity is 10.9%. Price-to-book is 3.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HOLX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in HOLX would have grown to $11771, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 15.4% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. HOLX has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20