HOLX
Hologic, Inc. Healthcare - Medical Instruments & Supplies Investor Relations →
Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) closed at $74.81 as of 2026-02-02, trading 2.4% above its 200-week moving average of $73.06. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 2.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 69, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1827 weeks of data, HOLX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 38 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HOLX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.9%.
With a market cap of $16.7 billion, HOLX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 10.9%. The stock trades at 3.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.9% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HOLX would have grown to $11678, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.4% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming HOLX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -23.2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: HOLX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HOLX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying HOLX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.4% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +18.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +69.2% vs +38.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HOLX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HOLX has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +19.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1991 | Feb 1992 | 52 | 58.8% | +68.8% | +7381.0% |
| Feb 1992 | May 1994 | 115 | 62.9% | -55.8% | +5467.3% |
| Jun 1998 | Nov 2001 | 179 | 85.1% | -59.8% | +1485.4% |
| Dec 2001 | Dec 2001 | 1 | 0.6% | +39.9% | +3135.0% |
| Feb 2003 | Mar 2003 | 5 | 12.6% | +146.0% | +3598.9% |
| Jul 2008 | Feb 2011 | 132 | 56.3% | -21.1% | +301.6% |
| Jul 2011 | Dec 2011 | 21 | 17.5% | +0.2% | +302.9% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 1 | 2.1% | +27.1% | +358.4% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 0.3% | +24.3% | +95.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 1.1% | +35.4% | +94.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 5 | 27.0% | +74.4% | +84.4% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 6 | 6.7% | +16.5% | +7.8% |
| Dec 2023 | Dec 2023 | 1 | 2.8% | +10.2% | +9.4% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 2 | 2.3% | -9.8% | +4.2% |
| Dec 2024 | Oct 2025 | 45 | 26.9% | +1.8% | +1.6% |
| Average | 38 | — | +19.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02