HMN

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NO
30.3% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 29.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $35.27
14-Week RSI 65
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.0x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.69 — Sellers winning

Horace Mann Educators Corporation (HMN) closed at $45.97 as of 2026-05-01, trading 30.3% above its 200-week moving average of $35.27. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 29.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 65, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.69 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.

Over the past 1750 weeks of data, HMN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HMN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.1%.

With a market cap of $1856 million, HMN is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 11.7%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.

This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HMN would have grown to $770, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. HMN has returned 6.3% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 47.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: HMN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After HMN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 32 historical episodes, buying HMN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -0.2% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +6.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 47% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.6% vs +26.1% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HMN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

HMN has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +0.1% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Nov 1993Dec 199358.1%-11.0%+772.5%
Jan 1994Feb 199474.8%-6.3%+784.1%
Mar 1994Apr 199410.4%-6.6%+767.7%
Sep 1994May 19953517.9%+14.5%+749.8%
Jun 1995Jul 199513.2%+39.9%+790.4%
Apr 1999Apr 199926.8%-17.0%+367.6%
Nov 1999Feb 200211648.5%-26.3%+332.4%
May 2002May 200210.1%-27.5%+346.3%
May 2002May 200410228.3%-23.6%+351.1%
Jul 2004Jul 200411.3%+26.6%+439.2%
Oct 2007Nov 200718.2%-50.1%+391.5%
Dec 2007Jan 200846.8%-44.4%+346.0%
Feb 2008Mar 201010966.8%-51.0%+346.8%
May 2010May 201010.8%+15.9%+417.8%
Aug 2011Oct 20111116.7%+41.5%+463.7%
Nov 2011Dec 2011512.2%+48.1%+479.1%
Mar 2019Apr 201935.0%-2.1%+67.9%
Mar 2020Aug 20202119.1%+16.9%+47.1%
Aug 2020Nov 20201214.6%+12.0%+48.4%
Feb 2021Mar 202120.1%+9.4%+43.7%
Jun 2021Jul 202153.6%-2.8%+42.6%
Nov 2021Dec 202152.3%+0.7%+41.1%
Jan 2022Jan 202223.0%+3.2%+44.8%
May 2022May 202221.2%-8.3%+42.0%
May 2022Jun 202236.4%-14.3%+40.9%
Jul 2022Aug 2022410.2%-11.2%+56.7%
Aug 2022Oct 202274.9%-18.6%+43.3%
Dec 2022Dec 202214.1%-5.3%+46.3%
Jan 2023Jan 20245319.9%-3.9%+40.4%
May 2024Jul 202485.1%+31.9%+45.8%
Jul 2024Aug 202421.6%+27.9%+45.8%
Sep 2024Sep 202410.3%+45.0%+43.4%
Average17+0.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HMN below its 200-week moving average?

No. Horace Mann Educators Corporation (HMN) is currently 30.3% above its 200-week moving average of $35.27. It would need to fall to $35.27 to cross below the line.

What is HMN's 200-week moving average price?

Horace Mann Educators Corporation's 200-week moving average is $35.27 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when HMN drops below its 200-week moving average?

HMN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +0.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.

Is HMN a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about HMN as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 65. Free cash flow yield is 10.6%. Return on equity is 11.7%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does HMN compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in HMN would have grown to $770, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 6.3% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. HMN has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does HMN pay a dividend?

Yes. Horace Mann Educators Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 313.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-05-01