HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Hotels Investor Relations →
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) closed at $318.61 as of 2026-05-01, trading 54.7% above its 200-week moving average of $205.93. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 63.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.89 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 598 weeks of data, HLT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HLT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +57.1%.
With a market cap of $72.5 billion, HLT is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.3%. The stock trades at -12.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 11.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HLT would have grown to $626, compared to $421 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.3% vs 13.3% for the index — confirming HLT as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 7.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HLT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HLT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying HLT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +58.8% after 12 months (median +70.0%), compared to +32.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +77.0% vs +41.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HLT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HLT has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +57.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2015 | Aug 2016 | 51 | 28.3% | -0.4% | +568.7% |
| Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 11 | 6.4% | +34.0% | +581.6% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 9 | 24.6% | +101.9% | +424.0% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 3 | 6.2% | +74.9% | +353.6% |
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2020 | 1 | 2.0% | +75.1% | +330.1% |
| Average | 15 | — | +57.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HLT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) is currently 54.7% above its 200-week moving average of $205.93. It would need to fall to $205.93 to cross below the line.
What is HLT's 200-week moving average price?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $205.93 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HLT drops below its 200-week moving average?
HLT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +57.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is HLT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HLT as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 59. Free cash flow yield is 2.3%. Price-to-book is -12.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HLT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11.5 years, $100 invested in HLT would have grown to $626, compared to $421 for the S&P 500. That's 17.3% annualized vs 13.3% for the index. HLT has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HLT pay a dividend?
Yes. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 19.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01