HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Hotels Investor Relations →
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) closed at $314.38 as of 2026-02-02, trading 60.9% above its 200-week moving average of $195.37. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 53.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, HLT is in overbought territory.
Over the past 586 weeks of data, HLT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HLT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +57.1%.
With a market cap of $73.9 billion, HLT is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.8%. The stock trades at -14.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 11.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HLT would have grown to $618, compared to $404 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.4% vs 13.1% for the index — confirming HLT as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 292.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: HLT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HLT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying HLT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +58.8% after 12 months (median +70.0%), compared to +32.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +77.0% vs +41.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HLT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HLT has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +57.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2015 | Aug 2016 | 51 | 28.3% | -0.4% | +559.5% |
| Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 11 | 6.4% | +34.0% | +572.2% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 9 | 24.6% | +101.9% | +416.8% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 3 | 6.2% | +74.9% | +347.3% |
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2020 | 1 | 2.0% | +75.1% | +324.1% |
| Average | 15 | — | +57.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02