HLMN
Hillman Solutions Corp. Industrials - Tools & Accessories Investor Relations →
Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) closed at $10.48 as of 2026-02-02, trading 16.1% above its 200-week moving average of $9.03. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 3.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 222 weeks of data, HLMN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -15.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $2.1 billion, HLMN is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.4%. Return on equity stands at 3.1%. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
Over the past 4.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HLMN would have grown to $102, compared to $161 for the S&P 500. HLMN has returned 0.6% annualized vs 11.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $992,600.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: HLMN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HLMN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying HLMN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -15.4% after 12 months (median -16.0%), compared to +10.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 14% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -12.3% vs +26.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HLMN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HLMN has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +-15.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2021 | Mar 2022 | 20 | 21.9% | -22.8% | -3.7% |
| Apr 2022 | Apr 2022 | 1 | 1.5% | -27.0% | -2.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Mar 2024 | 91 | 34.7% | -18.6% | -2.5% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 1 | 3.0% | -18.5% | +12.0% |
| May 2024 | Aug 2024 | 15 | 10.2% | -19.1% | +9.4% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 1.2% | +6.7% | +10.3% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 2 | 3.6% | -9.1% | +9.4% |
| Mar 2025 | Aug 2025 | 22 | 28.3% | N/A | +9.7% |
| Nov 2025 | Jan 2026 | 9 | 7.3% | N/A | +19.6% |
| Average | 18 | — | +-15.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02