HLF
Herbalife Ltd. Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Investor Relations →
Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) closed at $16.99 as of 2026-02-02, trading 28.4% above its 200-week moving average of $13.23. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 29.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, HLF is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1055 weeks of data, HLF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HLF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.5%.
With a market cap of $1755 million, HLF is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 15.9%, which is notably high. The stock trades at -2.9x book value.
Over the past 20.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HLF would have grown to $270, compared to $802 for the S&P 500. HLF has returned 5.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -19.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: HLF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HLF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying HLF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.5% after 12 months (median +35.0%), compared to +13.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.9% vs +30.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HLF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HLF has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +34.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2009 | 52 | 61.0% | +37.1% | +180.0% |
| Dec 2012 | Dec 2012 | 2 | 23.6% | +202.7% | +28.1% |
| Jan 2013 | Feb 2013 | 4 | 4.3% | +87.9% | -0.4% |
| Mar 2013 | Apr 2013 | 4 | 5.4% | +51.7% | -7.4% |
| Aug 2014 | May 2015 | 39 | 41.5% | +13.7% | -32.0% |
| Jul 2015 | Aug 2015 | 4 | 4.8% | +18.7% | -33.9% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 12.5% | -0.1% | -32.5% |
| Nov 2016 | Jan 2017 | 11 | 11.1% | +22.6% | -36.4% |
| Mar 2017 | Mar 2017 | 1 | 5.0% | +90.4% | -35.0% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 6 | 12.0% | +34.8% | -55.3% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 4 | 5.2% | +24.9% | -55.6% |
| Jan 2020 | May 2020 | 16 | 31.9% | +31.2% | -56.3% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 1 | 0.5% | -18.6% | -62.2% |
| Mar 2021 | Apr 2021 | 3 | 1.5% | -31.2% | -62.2% |
| Sep 2021 | Dec 2025 | 221 | 76.1% | -48.7% | -61.7% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 2 | 5.8% | N/A | +27.5% |
| Average | 24 | — | +34.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02