HI
Hillenbrand, Inc. Industrials - Specialty Industrial Machinery Investor Relations →
Hillenbrand, Inc. (HI) closed at $31.98 as of 2026-02-02, trading 10.7% below its 200-week moving average of $35.82. This places HI in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -11.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, HI is in overbought territory.
Over the past 884 weeks of data, HI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.4%.
With a market cap of $2.3 billion, HI is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 12.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 3.6%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Share count has increased 2.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 17 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HI would have grown to $300, compared to $1184 for the S&P 500. HI has returned 6.7% annualized vs 15.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -10.5% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: HI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying HI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.8% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +22.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.1% vs +43.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HI has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +12.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2009 | Aug 2009 | 22 | 18.7% | +37.5% | +220.7% |
| Nov 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 2.7% | +9.4% | +173.5% |
| Dec 2009 | Dec 2009 | 1 | 0.6% | +14.0% | +167.7% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 4 | 3.6% | +27.0% | +170.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 9 | 4.6% | -0.2% | +144.6% |
| May 2012 | Sep 2012 | 17 | 7.4% | +38.1% | +142.4% |
| Sep 2012 | Oct 2012 | 3 | 3.6% | +55.6% | +145.7% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 4.3% | +50.3% | +65.1% |
| Jul 2019 | Nov 2020 | 71 | 55.3% | -20.7% | +11.5% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 6 | 5.1% | -24.1% | -10.4% |
| Jun 2024 | Jul 2024 | 5 | 9.6% | -50.2% | -19.3% |
| Jul 2024 | Ongoing | 80+ | 52.8% | Ongoing | -15.6% |
| Average | 18 | — | +12.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02