HCSG
Healthcare Services Group, Inc. Healthcare - Medical Care Facilities Investor Relations →
Healthcare Services Group, Inc. (HCSG) closed at $22.94 as of 2026-06-19, trading 68.2% above its 200-week moving average of $13.64. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 64.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.30 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2172 weeks of data, HCSG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -3.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $1575 million, HCSG is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 13.2%. The stock trades at 3.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HCSG would have grown to $3078, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. HCSG has returned 10.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HCSG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HCSG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying HCSG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -7.0% after 12 months (median -16.0%), compared to +19.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 30% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +8.2% vs +39.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HCSG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HCSG would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HCSG's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-22.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $18.70 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $19.64 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $20.68 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $21.84 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $23.13 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from HCSG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
HCSG has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +-3.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1986 | Sep 1986 | 1 | 0.6% | +20.5% | +4018.8% |
| Mar 1987 | Mar 1987 | 1 | 2.7% | -6.8% | +4018.8% |
| Oct 1987 | May 1989 | 82 | 42.1% | -13.6% | +4018.8% |
| Mar 1992 | May 1994 | 115 | 39.7% | -28.9% | +2567.5% |
| Jul 1994 | Jul 1994 | 1 | 3.2% | -2.1% | +2427.1% |
| Aug 1994 | Nov 1994 | 15 | 8.6% | -8.5% | +2454.0% |
| Nov 1994 | Dec 1994 | 1 | 3.9% | -27.7% | +2454.0% |
| Mar 1995 | Mar 1995 | 1 | 0.5% | -16.0% | +2454.0% |
| Apr 1995 | Apr 1995 | 1 | 11.8% | -14.6% | +2827.7% |
| May 1995 | Jul 1995 | 7 | 7.1% | -8.1% | +2691.6% |
| Jul 1995 | Sep 1996 | 60 | 25.6% | -16.3% | +2691.6% |
| Oct 1996 | Dec 1996 | 10 | 8.4% | +38.0% | +2938.9% |
| Mar 1997 | Mar 1997 | 4 | 1.0% | +38.6% | +2792.5% |
| Apr 1997 | May 1997 | 1 | 3.1% | +42.7% | +2827.7% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 4 | 2.8% | -37.5% | +2400.8% |
| Oct 1999 | Jan 2000 | 10 | 16.3% | -38.5% | +2391.0% |
| Jan 2000 | Jul 2001 | 78 | 48.6% | -28.4% | +2288.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 6.4% | +87.1% | +2607.2% |
| Oct 2008 | Apr 2009 | 26 | 10.1% | +37.0% | +273.2% |
| Apr 2018 | Jun 2018 | 5 | 4.7% | -7.4% | -27.9% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 2.1% | -35.1% | -31.1% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 3.0% | -29.9% | -31.1% |
| Feb 2019 | Apr 2025 | 322 | 49.3% | -25.3% | -29.7% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 3 | 4.3% | N/A | +80.8% |
| Average | 31 | — | +-3.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HCSG below its 200-week moving average?
No. Healthcare Services Group, Inc. (HCSG) is currently 68.2% above its 200-week moving average of $13.64. It would need to fall to $13.64 to cross below the line.
What is HCSG's 200-week moving average price?
Healthcare Services Group, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $13.64 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HCSG drops below its 200-week moving average?
HCSG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -3.5%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 31 weeks on average.
Is HCSG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HCSG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 62. Free cash flow yield is 6.0%. Return on equity is 13.2%. Price-to-book is 3.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HCSG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in HCSG would have grown to $3078, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 10.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. HCSG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19