HCKT
The Hackett Group, Inc. Technology - Information Technology Services Investor Relations →
The Hackett Group, Inc. (HCKT) closed at $10.38 as of 2026-09-18, trading 48.5% below its 200-week moving average of $20.17. This places HCKT in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -46.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.29 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1429 weeks of data, HCKT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 34 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -16.6%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $258 million, HCKT is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 17.9%, a solid level. The stock trades at 3.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.6% over the past three years.
Over the past 27.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HCKT would have grown to $50, compared to $944 for the S&P 500. HCKT has returned -2.5% annualized vs 8.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -15.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HCKT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HCKT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying HCKT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -16.5% after 12 months (median -10.0%), compared to +6.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 17% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +8.5% vs +21.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HCKT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HCKT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HCKT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $8.87 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $9.46 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $10.14 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $10.92 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $11.83 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | $0.34 | $0.34 | +1.0% |
| 2026-05-05 | $0.35 | $0.34 | -1.9% |
| 2026-02-17 | $0.39 | $0.40 | +3.5% |
| 2025-11-04 | $0.37 | $0.37 | +0.9% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from HCKT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
HCKT has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +-16.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1999 | Nov 1999 | 17 | 54.4% | -16.3% | -37.7% |
| Feb 2000 | Feb 2000 | 1 | 10.0% | -64.0% | -32.3% |
| Apr 2000 | Jan 2004 | 196 | 89.0% | -75.6% | -22.0% |
| Jan 2004 | Feb 2004 | 2 | 3.4% | -30.9% | +116.5% |
| Jul 2004 | Aug 2004 | 8 | 20.2% | -23.1% | +167.5% |
| Oct 2004 | Nov 2005 | 58 | 27.6% | -18.2% | +198.0% |
| Jun 2006 | Nov 2007 | 77 | 43.1% | -17.4% | +231.7% |
| Jan 2008 | Mar 2008 | 12 | 16.3% | -36.1% | +237.2% |
| Apr 2008 | May 2008 | 3 | 1.7% | -46.8% | +250.6% |
| Oct 2008 | Aug 2010 | 95 | 55.0% | -20.7% | +243.8% |
| Aug 2011 | Sep 2011 | 2 | 4.7% | +9.0% | +309.8% |
| Nov 2011 | Dec 2011 | 3 | 10.6% | +6.3% | +340.5% |
| Nov 2012 | Dec 2012 | 4 | 8.6% | +85.1% | +327.2% |
| Apr 2019 | May 2019 | 3 | 2.6% | -4.0% | -18.7% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 0.9% | -17.6% | -21.6% |
| Nov 2019 | Dec 2019 | 6 | 4.0% | -2.6% | -19.6% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2021 | 56 | 36.9% | -9.9% | -21.4% |
| Aug 2025 | Ongoing | 59+ | 55.7% | Ongoing | -47.6% |
| Average | 34 | — | +-16.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HCKT below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, The Hackett Group, Inc. (HCKT) is trading 48.5% below its 200-week moving average of $20.17. The current price is $10.38.
What is HCKT's 200-week moving average price?
The Hackett Group, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $20.17 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HCKT drops below its 200-week moving average?
HCKT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -16.6%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 34 weeks on average.
Is HCKT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HCKT as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 48. Free cash flow yield is 11.8%. Return on equity is 17.9%. Price-to-book is 3.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HCKT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 27.4 years, $100 invested in HCKT would have grown to $50, compared to $944 for the S&P 500. That's -2.5% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. HCKT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HCKT pay a dividend?
Yes. The Hackett Group, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 463.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18