HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc. Healthcare - Medical Care Facilities Investor Relations →
HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) closed at $493.88 as of 2026-03-20, trading 56.7% above its 200-week moving average of $315.16. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 69.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 54, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 736 weeks of data, HCA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 2 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HCA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +103.6%.
With a market cap of $110.4 billion, HCA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.3%, which is healthy. The stock trades at -18.4x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 19.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 14.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HCA would have grown to $2375, compared to $608 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 25.1% vs 13.6% for the index — confirming HCA as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 23.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HCA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HCA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying HCA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +98.2% after 12 months (median +101.0%), compared to +32.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +133.5% vs +46.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HCA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
HCA has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +103.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2012 | Feb 2012 | 1 | 6.7% | +80.5% | +2547.3% |
| Mar 2012 | Apr 2012 | 1 | 1.0% | +89.9% | +2387.1% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 3 | 2.1% | +83.5% | +2398.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 24.3% | +140.8% | +559.4% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 5.7% | +115.2% | +424.2% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 5 | 12.4% | +111.5% | +414.8% |
| Average | 2 | — | +103.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HCA below its 200-week moving average?
No. HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) is currently 56.7% above its 200-week moving average of $315.16. It would need to fall to $315.16 to cross below the line.
What is HCA's 200-week moving average price?
HCA Healthcare, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $315.16 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HCA drops below its 200-week moving average?
HCA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +103.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 2 weeks on average.
Is HCA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HCA as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 54. Free cash flow yield is 5.3%. Price-to-book is -18.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HCA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 14.2 years, $100 invested in HCA would have grown to $2375, compared to $608 for the S&P 500. That's 25.1% annualized vs 13.6% for the index. HCA has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HCA pay a dividend?
Yes. HCA Healthcare, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 63.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20