HBB
Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company Consumer Cyclical - Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Investor Relations →
Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company (HBB) closed at $31.64 as of 2026-09-18, trading 87.8% above its 200-week moving average of $16.85. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 79.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, HBB is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.00 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 420 weeks of data, HBB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 33 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -1.2%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $425 million, HBB is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 13.0%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 30.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 3.4% reduction over three years. HBB passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 8.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HBB would have grown to $177, compared to $295 for the S&P 500. HBB has returned 7.3% annualized vs 14.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HBB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HBB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying HBB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -4.7% after 12 months (median -25.0%), compared to +16.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 29% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -25.0% vs +19.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HBB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HBB would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HBB's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $19.35 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $21.73 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $24.77 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $28.80 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $34.40 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-09 | $0.97 | $0.51 | -47.4% |
| 2022-11-02 | $0.34 | $0.43 | +26.5% |
| 2022-08-03 | $0.22 | $0.36 | +63.6% |
| 2022-05-04 | $0.15 | $0.51 | +240.0% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from HBB's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
HBB has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +-1.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2018 | Jan 2019 | 18 | 29.1% | -39.5% | +58.4% |
| Feb 2019 | Aug 2020 | 81 | 64.1% | -36.8% | +54.9% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 1 | 5.2% | -14.0% | +95.9% |
| Nov 2020 | May 2021 | 25 | 14.5% | -4.8% | +102.9% |
| Jul 2021 | Nov 2023 | 120 | 45.5% | -34.8% | +96.3% |
| Apr 2025 | May 2025 | 2 | 2.8% | +43.6% | +124.2% |
| Jul 2025 | Oct 2025 | 11 | 12.8% | +77.8% | +145.7% |
| Oct 2025 | Nov 2025 | 3 | 6.8% | N/A | +130.3% |
| Average | 33 | — | +-1.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HBB below its 200-week moving average?
No. Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company (HBB) is currently 87.8% above its 200-week moving average of $16.85. It would need to fall to $16.85 to cross below the line.
What is HBB's 200-week moving average price?
Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company's 200-week moving average is $16.85 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HBB drops below its 200-week moving average?
HBB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -1.2%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 33 weeks on average.
Is HBB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HBB as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 76 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 13.0%. Return on equity is 30.2%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HBB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8.1 years, $100 invested in HBB would have grown to $177, compared to $295 for the S&P 500. That's 7.3% annualized vs 14.3% for the index. HBB has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HBB pay a dividend?
Yes. Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company currently pays a dividend yield of 155.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18