HBAN

Huntington Bancshares Incorporated Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →

NO
25.9% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 28.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $13.53
14-Week RSI 56
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.3x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.76

Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN) closed at $17.04 as of 2026-07-31, trading 25.9% above its 200-week moving average of $13.53. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 28.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.76 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2371 weeks of data, HBAN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HBAN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.9%.

With a market cap of $34.4 billion, HBAN is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 9.0%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

Share count has increased 8.6% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HBAN would have grown to $492, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. HBAN has returned 4.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -16.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: HBAN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After HBAN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 12 historical episodes, buying HBAN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.8% after 12 months (median +30.0%), compared to +17.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +31.5% vs +31.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HBAN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HBAN would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score -1.57σ
Current FCF Yield 5.96%
Baseline Yield 6.80%
Historical σ 0.50pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where HBAN's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$13.76Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$14.71Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$15.79Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$17.05Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$18.52Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 26 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

12 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from HBAN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation -0.93σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.29σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative +0.67σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +5.0pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 23th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History N/A Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+8.6pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

HBAN has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +22.9% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Feb 1981Mar 198143.8%+27.6%+3472.0%
Jun 1982Jul 198244.7%+49.4%+2897.7%
Jul 1982Aug 198245.9%+42.2%+2969.9%
Nov 1987Nov 198720.3%+17.1%+1284.5%
Dec 1987Dec 198712.2%+18.4%+1304.9%
Dec 1987Jan 198845.2%+16.4%+1341.3%
Dec 1988Jan 198932.1%+38.3%+1138.5%
Jul 1990Feb 19912826.4%+36.5%+1059.3%
Dec 1999Mar 200211638.8%-26.1%+113.5%
Jul 2002Jul 200215.8%+22.4%+130.0%
Sep 2002Oct 200225.8%+23.0%+130.8%
Jul 2007Jan 201223493.6%-71.6%+55.8%
Jan 2016Feb 201632.5%+65.1%+205.2%
Jun 2016Jul 201633.1%+51.3%+199.7%
Dec 2018Dec 201811.8%+36.1%+106.9%
Feb 2020Nov 20203945.0%+32.8%+87.6%
Jun 2022Jul 202232.8%-3.8%+70.6%
Mar 2023Jul 20231924.4%+33.0%+90.0%
Aug 2023Dec 20231720.0%+19.3%+61.4%
Mar 2025Apr 202510.2%+30.1%+41.7%
Average24+22.9%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HBAN below its 200-week moving average?

No. Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN) is currently 25.9% above its 200-week moving average of $13.53. It would need to fall to $13.53 to cross below the line.

What is HBAN's 200-week moving average price?

Huntington Bancshares Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $13.53 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when HBAN drops below its 200-week moving average?

HBAN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.

Is HBAN a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about HBAN as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 56. Return on equity is 9.0%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does HBAN compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in HBAN would have grown to $492, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 4.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. HBAN has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does HBAN pay a dividend?

Yes. Huntington Bancshares Incorporated currently pays a dividend yield of 364.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-07-31