HBAN
Huntington Bancshares Incorporated Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →
Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN) closed at $15.88 as of 2026-09-18, trading 17.1% above its 200-week moving average of $13.57. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 23.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 39, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.3x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 2378 weeks of data, HBAN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HBAN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.9%.
With a market cap of $32.1 billion, HBAN is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 9.0%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Share count has increased 8.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HBAN would have grown to $463, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. HBAN has returned 4.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -16.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HBAN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HBAN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying HBAN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.8% after 12 months (median +30.0%), compared to +17.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +31.5% vs +31.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HBAN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HBAN would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HBAN's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-22.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $16.05 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $16.90 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $17.86 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $18.92 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $20.13 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | $0.39 | $0.39 | +0.9% |
| 2026-04-23 | $0.35 | $0.37 | +5.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | $0.38 | $0.37 | -1.3% |
| 2025-10-17 | $0.37 | $0.40 | +7.1% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from HBAN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
HBAN has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +22.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Mar 1981 | 4 | 3.8% | +27.6% | +3261.8% |
| Jun 1982 | Jul 1982 | 4 | 4.7% | +49.4% | +2721.2% |
| Jul 1982 | Aug 1982 | 4 | 5.9% | +42.2% | +2789.2% |
| Nov 1987 | Nov 1987 | 2 | 0.3% | +17.1% | +1203.0% |
| Dec 1987 | Dec 1987 | 1 | 2.2% | +18.4% | +1222.2% |
| Dec 1987 | Jan 1988 | 4 | 5.2% | +16.4% | +1256.5% |
| Dec 1988 | Jan 1989 | 3 | 2.1% | +38.3% | +1065.6% |
| Jul 1990 | Feb 1991 | 28 | 26.4% | +36.5% | +991.1% |
| Dec 1999 | Mar 2002 | 116 | 38.8% | -26.1% | +100.9% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 5.8% | +22.4% | +116.5% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 2 | 5.8% | +23.0% | +117.2% |
| Jul 2007 | Jan 2012 | 234 | 93.6% | -71.6% | +46.6% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 3 | 2.5% | +65.1% | +187.2% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 3 | 3.1% | +51.3% | +182.0% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 1.8% | +36.1% | +94.7% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 39 | 45.0% | +32.8% | +76.6% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 2.8% | -3.8% | +60.6% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 19 | 24.4% | +33.0% | +78.8% |
| Aug 2023 | Dec 2023 | 17 | 20.0% | +19.3% | +51.9% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 0.2% | +30.1% | +33.4% |
| Average | 24 | — | +22.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HBAN below its 200-week moving average?
No. Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN) is currently 17.1% above its 200-week moving average of $13.57. It would need to fall to $13.57 to cross below the line.
What is HBAN's 200-week moving average price?
Huntington Bancshares Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $13.57 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HBAN drops below its 200-week moving average?
HBAN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is HBAN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HBAN as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 39. Return on equity is 9.0%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HBAN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in HBAN would have grown to $463, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 4.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. HBAN has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HBAN pay a dividend?
Yes. Huntington Bancshares Incorporated currently pays a dividend yield of 390.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18