HASI

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →

NO
34.2% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 36.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $27.37
14-Week RSI 46
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.6x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.92

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (HASI) closed at $36.73 as of 2026-09-18, trading 34.2% above its 200-week moving average of $27.37. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 36.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.92 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 652 weeks of data, HASI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HASI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +35.7%.

With a market cap of $4.7 billion, HASI is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 3.4%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.

Share count has increased 40.5% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 12.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HASI would have grown to $497, compared to $502 for the S&P 500. HASI has returned 13.6% annualized vs 13.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 799.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: HASI vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After HASI Crosses Below the Line?

Across 5 historical episodes, buying HASI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.4% after 12 months (median -25.0%), compared to +25.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 40% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +53.5% vs +58.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HASI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HASI would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +1.88σ
Current FCF Yield 4.42%
Baseline Yield 4.24%
Historical σ 0.21pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where HASI's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-05.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$36.52Unusually cheap — analysis point
Value+1σ$38.32Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$40.30Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$42.50Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$44.94Unusually expensive — analysis point

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-08-06$0.73$0.75+2.7%
2026-05-07$0.69$0.77+11.8%
2026-02-12$0.66$0.67+1.6%
2025-11-06$0.69$0.80+16.1%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 24 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

13 / 13 weeks minimum

the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from HASI's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -0.85σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.21σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative -0.27σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -4.7pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History N/A Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-23.5pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

HASI has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +35.7% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Mar 2020Apr 2020319.0%+211.8%+187.0%
Jun 2022Jun 202214.3%-19.2%+31.7%
Jul 2022Aug 2022314.9%-11.8%+46.7%
Sep 2022Sep 202410360.4%-20.9%+45.4%
Nov 2024Aug 20254124.6%+18.8%+41.1%
Average30+35.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HASI below its 200-week moving average?

No. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (HASI) is currently 34.2% above its 200-week moving average of $27.37. It would need to fall to $27.37 to cross below the line.

What is HASI's 200-week moving average price?

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $27.37 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when HASI drops below its 200-week moving average?

HASI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +35.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 30 weeks on average.

Is HASI a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about HASI as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 46. Return on equity is 3.4%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does HASI compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 12.6 years, $100 invested in HASI would have grown to $497, compared to $502 for the S&P 500. That's 13.6% annualized vs 13.7% for the index. HASI has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does HASI pay a dividend?

Yes. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 463.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-18