HAS
Hasbro, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Leisure Investor Relations →
Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) closed at $87.57 as of 2026-09-18, trading 37.7% above its 200-week moving average of $63.61. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 44.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.31 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2378 weeks of data, HAS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HAS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.1%.
With a market cap of $12.4 billion, HAS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 159.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 17.5x book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HAS would have grown to $1252, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. HAS has returned 7.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 51.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HAS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HAS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying HAS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.3% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +17.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.7% vs +40.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HAS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HAS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HAS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-22.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $71.91 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $77.32 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $83.60 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $91.00 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $99.83 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | $1.13 | $1.28 | +12.8% |
| 2026-05-13 | $1.13 | $1.47 | +29.5% |
| 2026-02-10 | $0.95 | $1.51 | +59.3% |
| 2025-10-23 | $1.63 | $1.68 | +2.9% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from HAS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
HAS has crossed below its 200-week MA 23 times with an average 1-year return of +14.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1987 | May 1989 | 84 | 35.8% | -4.9% | +4000.0% |
| Dec 1989 | Jan 1990 | 2 | 9.1% | -13.0% | +3571.6% |
| Jan 1990 | May 1990 | 16 | 10.0% | -0.2% | +3354.2% |
| Jun 1990 | Jan 1991 | 29 | 37.0% | +52.8% | +3453.8% |
| Dec 1994 | Feb 1995 | 9 | 3.5% | +11.8% | +1391.9% |
| Jul 1995 | Aug 1995 | 3 | 1.1% | +14.9% | +1257.9% |
| Sep 1995 | Jan 1996 | 18 | 6.6% | +19.3% | +1243.5% |
| Oct 1999 | Nov 1999 | 4 | 10.9% | -41.2% | +781.6% |
| Nov 1999 | Apr 2003 | 177 | 53.0% | -42.8% | +752.5% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 2 | 3.1% | +89.1% | +833.4% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2008 | 1 | 0.8% | +22.7% | +532.3% |
| Jan 2009 | Mar 2009 | 8 | 11.8% | +30.3% | +535.4% |
| May 2009 | May 2009 | 2 | 9.7% | +80.6% | +563.8% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 6 | 8.6% | +65.5% | +506.7% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 2 | 2.4% | +21.4% | +340.1% |
| Dec 2011 | Jan 2012 | 5 | 6.2% | +16.6% | +339.1% |
| Jul 2012 | Jul 2012 | 2 | 2.8% | +50.4% | +324.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 3 | 5.7% | +36.1% | +48.6% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 0.5% | -43.4% | +38.0% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 39 | 48.8% | +3.5% | +24.9% |
| Mar 2022 | Apr 2022 | 7 | 4.4% | -40.8% | +22.1% |
| May 2022 | Sep 2024 | 121 | 41.5% | -25.6% | +23.6% |
| Oct 2024 | May 2025 | 29 | 18.5% | +20.3% | +41.8% |
| Average | 25 | — | +14.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HAS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) is currently 37.7% above its 200-week moving average of $63.61. It would need to fall to $63.61 to cross below the line.
What is HAS's 200-week moving average price?
Hasbro, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $63.61 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HAS drops below its 200-week moving average?
HAS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is HAS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HAS as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow yield is 5.6%. Return on equity is 159.6%. Price-to-book is 17.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HAS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in HAS would have grown to $1252, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 7.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. HAS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HAS pay a dividend?
Yes. Hasbro, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 315.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18