GXO
GXO Logistics, Inc. Industrials - Integrated Freight & Logistics Investor Relations →
GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) closed at $58.91 as of 2026-02-02, trading 16.1% above its 200-week moving average of $50.76. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 11.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 189 weeks of data, GXO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GXO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.6%.
With a market cap of $6.7 billion, GXO is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.4%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 3.0%. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
Share count has increased 4.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 3.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GXO would have grown to $134, compared to $193 for the S&P 500. GXO has returned 8.1% annualized vs 19.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -2.5% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: GXO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GXO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying GXO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.5% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +24.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +3.3% vs +52.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GXO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GXO has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +0.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2023 | 52 | 49.4% | +42.6% | +33.8% |
| Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | 14 | 18.0% | -20.3% | -3.1% |
| Jan 2024 | Oct 2024 | 40 | 19.2% | -25.6% | -0.1% |
| Dec 2024 | Sep 2025 | 42 | 40.4% | +5.6% | +18.4% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 3.1% | N/A | +14.8% |
| Nov 2025 | Dec 2025 | 4 | 8.3% | N/A | +15.9% |
| Average | 26 | — | +0.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02