GSK
GSK plc Healthcare - Pharmaceuticals Investor Relations →
GSK plc (GSK) closed at $60.23 as of 2026-02-02, trading 66.8% above its 200-week moving average of $36.11. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 43.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 86, GSK is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2345 weeks of data, GSK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GSK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.5%.
With a market cap of $120.9 billion, GSK is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.3%. Return on equity stands at 43.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 10.9x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GSK would have grown to $1204, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. GSK has returned 7.8% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -12.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: GSK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GSK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 39 historical episodes, buying GSK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.9% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +10.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.6% vs +22.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GSK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GSK has crossed below its 200-week MA 39 times with an average 1-year return of +10.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1993 | May 1993 | 8 | 10.1% | +12.0% | +1255.9% |
| May 1993 | Sep 1993 | 14 | 22.6% | -8.0% | +1265.4% |
| Sep 1993 | Oct 1993 | 2 | 1.7% | -5.3% | +1176.7% |
| Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 4 | 5.1% | +4.9% | +1156.7% |
| Jan 1994 | Dec 1994 | 50 | 21.4% | +9.6% | +1133.0% |
| Jan 1995 | Jan 1995 | 1 | 3.5% | +46.2% | +1082.4% |
| Feb 1995 | Feb 1995 | 1 | 1.4% | +47.8% | +1053.0% |
| Feb 2000 | Feb 2000 | 1 | 1.5% | +24.0% | +326.0% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 6 | 6.7% | -0.3% | +283.0% |
| Aug 2001 | Sep 2001 | 6 | 9.0% | -19.7% | +252.5% |
| Oct 2001 | Nov 2003 | 107 | 33.1% | -24.7% | +248.6% |
| Dec 2003 | Dec 2003 | 1 | 0.8% | +4.5% | +286.0% |
| Jan 2004 | Sep 2004 | 35 | 10.1% | +5.3% | +283.6% |
| Oct 2004 | Oct 2004 | 2 | 1.1% | +28.7% | +302.8% |
| Jan 2008 | Jul 2008 | 24 | 12.6% | -23.6% | +218.9% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 1 | 1.4% | -13.1% | +214.6% |
| Aug 2008 | Nov 2009 | 66 | 36.3% | -9.1% | +210.8% |
| Dec 2009 | Dec 2009 | 1 | 1.0% | -0.3% | +223.6% |
| Jan 2010 | Aug 2010 | 34 | 17.3% | -0.5% | +229.1% |
| Jan 2011 | Feb 2011 | 4 | 4.1% | +26.6% | +243.4% |
| Dec 2014 | Dec 2014 | 1 | 1.0% | -2.1% | +145.7% |
| Dec 2014 | Jan 2015 | 2 | 1.5% | +0.6% | +146.0% |
| Jun 2015 | Aug 2015 | 9 | 4.7% | +8.3% | +138.2% |
| Aug 2015 | Apr 2016 | 34 | 10.7% | +14.9% | +142.6% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 3 | 2.6% | +11.6% | +130.5% |
| Oct 2016 | Feb 2017 | 17 | 8.5% | +4.4% | +126.8% |
| Aug 2017 | Aug 2017 | 3 | 3.8% | +9.6% | +131.7% |
| Oct 2017 | Mar 2018 | 22 | 10.9% | +14.8% | +145.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | 9.8% | +15.9% | +133.3% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 4 | 9.6% | +12.9% | +107.9% |
| Dec 2020 | Dec 2020 | 1 | 1.5% | +28.1% | +107.7% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 6 | 7.0% | +34.4% | +112.9% |
| Mar 2021 | Apr 2021 | 1 | 0.9% | +29.2% | +105.9% |
| Aug 2022 | Apr 2023 | 34 | 20.2% | +2.1% | +92.5% |
| Apr 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 0.7% | +18.7% | +86.7% |
| May 2023 | Sep 2023 | 16 | 6.1% | +31.4% | +88.9% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 4 | 3.0% | +12.7% | +90.8% |
| Nov 2024 | Feb 2025 | 12 | 7.4% | +47.9% | +90.5% |
| Apr 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 2.8% | N/A | +79.4% |
| Average | 14 | — | +10.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02