GSBC
Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. (GSBC) closed at $78.91 as of 2026-09-18, trading 40.2% above its 200-week moving average of $56.27. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 42.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.20 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1870 weeks of data, GSBC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GSBC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.2%.
With a market cap of $860 million, GSBC is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 10.6%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.6% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GSBC would have grown to $8245, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.0% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming GSBC as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 2.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GSBC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GSBC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying GSBC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.4% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +15.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +35.0% vs +31.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GSBC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices GSBC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where GSBC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-14.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $69.02 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $78.20 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $90.19 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $106.54 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $130.12 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $1.38 | $1.57 | +14.5% |
| 2026-04-15 | $1.29 | $1.58 | +22.5% |
| 2026-01-21 | $1.37 | $1.45 | +5.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from GSBC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
GSBC has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +25.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1990 | Feb 1991 | 11 | 10.2% | +106.0% | +33367.8% |
| Mar 2000 | Mar 2001 | 55 | 25.6% | -6.5% | +1578.7% |
| May 2007 | May 2009 | 105 | 69.5% | -48.9% | +421.3% |
| Jun 2009 | Jun 2009 | 2 | 4.2% | +17.3% | +553.9% |
| Jul 2009 | Jul 2009 | 2 | 3.3% | +10.8% | +562.0% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 2 | 3.9% | +39.3% | +610.8% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 8 | 9.0% | +86.9% | +636.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Dec 2020 | 40 | 31.3% | +48.2% | +126.0% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 9 | 3.9% | +10.6% | +70.5% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 0.7% | +6.5% | +70.4% |
| Aug 2023 | Oct 2023 | 10 | 6.0% | +22.9% | +70.0% |
| Feb 2024 | Feb 2024 | 1 | 0.6% | +20.2% | +68.0% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 1 | 0.6% | +11.4% | +63.4% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 2 | 5.0% | +27.5% | +57.8% |
| Average | 18 | — | +25.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GSBC below its 200-week moving average?
No. Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. (GSBC) is currently 40.2% above its 200-week moving average of $56.27. It would need to fall to $56.27 to cross below the line.
What is GSBC's 200-week moving average price?
Great Southern Bancorp, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $56.27 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GSBC drops below its 200-week moving average?
GSBC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +25.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is GSBC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GSBC as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 60. Return on equity is 10.6%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GSBC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in GSBC would have grown to $8245, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 14.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. GSBC has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does GSBC pay a dividend?
Yes. Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 217.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18