GS

The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Financial Services - Investment Banking Investor Relations →

NO
111.7% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 106.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $517.90
14-Week RSI 96
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.3x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.23

The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) closed at $1096.56 as of 2026-06-19, trading 111.7% above its 200-week moving average of $517.90. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 106.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 96, GS is in overbought territory.

Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.23 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1367 weeks of data, GS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.5%.

With a market cap of $323.5 billion, GS is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 14.5%. The stock trades at 3.1x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 11.5% over the past three years.

Over the past 26.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GS would have grown to $1704, compared to $819 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.4% vs 8.3% for the index — confirming GS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: GS vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After GS Crosses Below the Line?

Across 24 historical episodes, buying GS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.0% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +9.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.4% vs +23.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. GS currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score +1.69σ
Current FCF Yield -13.68%
Baseline Yield -16.54%
Historical σ 1.55pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from GS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation -0.92σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -3.11σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -0.6pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History N/A Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+70.8pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

GS has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +13.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 2000May 200019.8%+41.0%+2176.6%
Nov 2000Dec 200024.6%+11.2%+1845.4%
Mar 2001Apr 200153.9%+4.4%+1720.4%
Jun 2001Nov 20011922.4%-14.0%+1743.6%
Jan 2002Mar 200259.0%-19.6%+1744.3%
Apr 2002Jun 20036126.9%-15.7%+1728.3%
Jun 2003Jun 200312.0%+16.0%+1793.2%
Sep 2003Sep 200310.6%+11.6%+1736.0%
Aug 2004Aug 200420.4%+31.0%+1719.7%
Sep 2008Jul 20094566.7%+14.8%+865.9%
Dec 2009Dec 200920.5%+1.5%+798.9%
Jan 2010Mar 201069.6%+8.9%+851.8%
Apr 2010Nov 20102920.3%-2.6%+810.7%
Nov 2010Nov 201011.6%-43.3%+820.4%
Apr 2011Dec 20129037.6%-24.9%+834.7%
Jan 2016Apr 2016147.7%+59.4%+773.1%
May 2016Aug 20161512.8%+44.8%+751.6%
Sep 2016Oct 201622.6%+41.7%+712.6%
Nov 2018Apr 20192021.1%+11.0%+547.4%
May 2019Jun 201979.8%-6.2%+542.4%
Aug 2019Aug 201923.4%+6.8%+547.9%
Sep 2019Oct 201911.0%+2.0%+539.5%
Feb 2020Nov 20203733.6%+63.0%+536.0%
Oct 2023Oct 202311.6%+81.7%+302.4%
Average15+13.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is GS below its 200-week moving average?

No. The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) is currently 111.7% above its 200-week moving average of $517.90. It would need to fall to $517.90 to cross below the line.

What is GS's 200-week moving average price?

The Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $517.90 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when GS drops below its 200-week moving average?

GS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.

Is GS a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about GS as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 96 (overbought). Return on equity is 14.5%. Price-to-book is 3.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does GS compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 26.2 years, $100 invested in GS would have grown to $1704, compared to $819 for the S&P 500. That's 11.4% annualized vs 8.3% for the index. GS has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does GS pay a dividend?

Yes. The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 165.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19