GS
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Financial Services - Investment Banking Investor Relations →
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) closed at $1018.38 as of 2026-07-31, trading 88.4% above its 200-week moving average of $540.56. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 97.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 64, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.02 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1373 weeks of data, GS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.5%.
Return on equity stands at 17.0%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 11.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 26.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GS would have grown to $1583, compared to $820 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.1% vs 8.3% for the index — confirming GS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying GS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.0% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +9.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.4% vs +23.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. GS currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from GS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
GS has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +13.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 1 | 9.8% | +41.0% | +2014.2% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2000 | 2 | 4.6% | +11.2% | +1706.7% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 5 | 3.9% | +4.4% | +1590.6% |
| Jun 2001 | Nov 2001 | 19 | 22.4% | -14.0% | +1612.2% |
| Jan 2002 | Mar 2002 | 5 | 9.1% | -19.6% | +1612.9% |
| Apr 2002 | Jun 2003 | 61 | 26.9% | -15.7% | +1597.9% |
| Jun 2003 | Jun 2003 | 1 | 2.0% | +16.0% | +1658.2% |
| Sep 2003 | Sep 2003 | 1 | 0.6% | +11.6% | +1605.1% |
| Aug 2004 | Aug 2004 | 2 | 0.4% | +31.0% | +1589.9% |
| Sep 2008 | Jul 2009 | 45 | 66.7% | +14.8% | +797.1% |
| Dec 2009 | Dec 2009 | 2 | 0.5% | +1.5% | +734.8% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 9.6% | +8.9% | +783.9% |
| Apr 2010 | Nov 2010 | 29 | 20.3% | -2.6% | +745.8% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 1 | 1.6% | -43.3% | +754.8% |
| Apr 2011 | Dec 2012 | 90 | 37.6% | -24.9% | +768.1% |
| Jan 2016 | Apr 2016 | 14 | 7.7% | +59.4% | +710.8% |
| May 2016 | Aug 2016 | 15 | 12.8% | +44.8% | +690.8% |
| Sep 2016 | Oct 2016 | 2 | 2.6% | +41.7% | +654.7% |
| Nov 2018 | Apr 2019 | 21 | 21.1% | +11.0% | +501.2% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 7 | 9.4% | -6.2% | +496.6% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 2 | 3.4% | +6.8% | +501.7% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 1.0% | +2.0% | +493.9% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 33.6% | +62.0% | +487.1% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 1.6% | +81.7% | +273.7% |
| Average | 15 | — | +13.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GS below its 200-week moving average?
No. The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) is currently 88.4% above its 200-week moving average of $540.56. It would need to fall to $540.56 to cross below the line.
What is GS's 200-week moving average price?
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $540.56 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GS drops below its 200-week moving average?
GS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is GS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GS as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 64. Return on equity is 17.0%. Price-to-book is 2.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 26.3 years, $100 invested in GS would have grown to $1583, compared to $820 for the S&P 500. That's 11.1% annualized vs 8.3% for the index. GS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does GS pay a dividend?
Yes. The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 195.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31