GRPN

Groupon, Inc. Communication Services - Internet Content & Information Investor Relations โ†’

YES
3.4% BELOW
โ†“ Approaching Was 2.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $13.76
14-Week RSI 27 ๐Ÿ“‰

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) closed at $13.29 as of 2026-02-02, trading 3.4% below its 200-week moving average of $13.76. This places GRPN in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 2.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 27, GRPN is in oversold territory.

Over the past 696 weeks of data, GRPN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 88 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -3.4%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $542 million, GRPN is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 16.7%, which is notably high. The stock trades at -9.1x book value.

Share count has increased 33.9% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 13.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GRPN would have grown to $17, compared to $616 for the S&P 500. GRPN has returned -12.2% annualized vs 14.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: GRPN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After GRPN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 6 historical episodes, buying GRPN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.0% after 12 months (median -21.0%), compared to +13.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 17% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -36.3% vs +21.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GRPN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

GRPN has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +-3.4% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 2012Sep 20134778.9%+110.2%-87.4%
Oct 2013Dec 2013812.0%-38.3%-93.2%
Jan 2014Jan 201410.4%-28.8%-93.5%
Feb 2014Oct 201719367.5%+1.5%-91.7%
Feb 2018Jul 20182313.5%-22.6%-85.3%
Aug 2018Mar 202534488.2%-42.3%-84.7%
Feb 2026Ongoing1+3.4%OngoingN/A
Average88โ€”+-3.4%โ€”

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02