GRPN
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Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) closed at $11.43 as of 2026-03-20, trading 16.0% below its 200-week moving average of $13.61. This places GRPN in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -29.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 702 weeks of data, GRPN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 89 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -3.4%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $466 million, GRPN is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 20.1%, which is notably high. The stock trades at -10.9x book value.
Share count has increased 33.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 13.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GRPN would have grown to $15, compared to $580 for the S&P 500. GRPN has returned -13.1% annualized vs 13.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GRPN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GRPN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying GRPN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.0% after 12 months (median -21.0%), compared to +13.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 17% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -36.3% vs +21.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GRPN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GRPN has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +-3.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2012 | Sep 2013 | 47 | 78.9% | +110.2% | -89.2% |
| Oct 2013 | Dec 2013 | 8 | 12.0% | -38.3% | -94.2% |
| Jan 2014 | Jan 2014 | 1 | 0.4% | -28.8% | -94.4% |
| Feb 2014 | Oct 2017 | 193 | 67.5% | +1.5% | -92.9% |
| Feb 2018 | Jul 2018 | 23 | 13.5% | -22.6% | -87.3% |
| Aug 2018 | Mar 2025 | 344 | 88.2% | -42.3% | -86.9% |
| Feb 2026 | Ongoing | 7+ | 29.2% | Ongoing | -14.0% |
| Average | 89 | — | +-3.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GRPN below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) is trading 16.0% below its 200-week moving average of $13.61. The current price is $11.43.
What is GRPN's 200-week moving average price?
Groupon, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $13.61 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GRPN drops below its 200-week moving average?
GRPN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -3.4%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 89 weeks on average.
Is GRPN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GRPN as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 33. Free cash flow yield is 20.1%. Price-to-book is -10.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GRPN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 13.5 years, $100 invested in GRPN would have grown to $15, compared to $580 for the S&P 500. That's -13.1% annualized vs 13.9% for the index. GRPN has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20