GRFS
Grifols, S.A. Healthcare - Drug Manufacturers - General Investor Relations →
Grifols, S.A. (GRFS) closed at $7.58 as of 2026-03-20, trading 10.3% below its 200-week moving average of $8.45. This places GRFS in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -7.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 26, GRFS is in oversold territory.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.0x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 724 weeks of data, GRFS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GRFS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.0%.
With a market cap of $6.2 billion, GRFS is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 16.5%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 6.2%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Over the past 13.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GRFS would have grown to $114, compared to $631 for the S&P 500. GRFS has returned 1.0% annualized vs 14.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 23.5% compound annual rate, with 1 consecutive year of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GRFS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GRFS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying GRFS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +19.6% after 12 months (median +25.0%), compared to +24.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 78% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +21.2% vs +45.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GRFS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GRFS has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +22.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 5 | 3.4% | +15.7% | -41.8% |
| Mar 2016 | Mar 2016 | 2 | 1.6% | +19.1% | -42.8% |
| Apr 2016 | Apr 2016 | 1 | 1.0% | +30.7% | -43.2% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 3 | 5.0% | +46.7% | -41.8% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 2 | 0.7% | +41.3% | -44.4% |
| Sep 2016 | Dec 2016 | 13 | 9.9% | +39.9% | -46.2% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 2 | 3.5% | +16.6% | -54.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 6.5% | -10.1% | -55.8% |
| May 2020 | Jun 2025 | 268 | 62.7% | -1.8% | -58.5% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 3 | 2.9% | N/A | -10.2% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 10.3% | Ongoing | -2.9% |
| Average | 28 | — | +22.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GRFS below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Grifols, S.A. (GRFS) is trading 10.3% below its 200-week moving average of $8.45. The current price is $7.58.
What is GRFS's 200-week moving average price?
Grifols, S.A.'s 200-week moving average is $8.45 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GRFS drops below its 200-week moving average?
GRFS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is GRFS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GRFS as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 26 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 16.5%. Return on equity is 6.2%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GRFS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 13.9 years, $100 invested in GRFS would have grown to $114, compared to $631 for the S&P 500. That's 1.0% annualized vs 14.1% for the index. GRFS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does GRFS pay a dividend?
Yes. Grifols, S.A. currently pays a dividend yield of 232.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20