GRBK
Green Brick Partners, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Residential Construction Investor Relations →
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) closed at $75.46 as of 2026-02-02, trading 48.9% above its 200-week moving average of $50.68. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 37.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 65, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 924 weeks of data, GRBK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 37 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GRBK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +32.3%.
With a market cap of $3.3 billion, GRBK is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.3%. Return on equity stands at 21.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 12.3% over the past three years. GRBK passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 17.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GRBK would have grown to $132, compared to $684 for the S&P 500. GRBK has returned 1.6% annualized vs 11.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: GRBK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GRBK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying GRBK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.6% after 12 months (median +41.0%), compared to +15.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +61.9% vs +33.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GRBK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GRBK has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +32.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2008 | Dec 2009 | 80 | 92.6% | -86.3% | +32.3% |
| Dec 2009 | Jan 2010 | 2 | 8.2% | -43.3% | +97.3% |
| Feb 2010 | Aug 2014 | 236 | 89.5% | -66.1% | +108.7% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 0.2% | +120.9% | +1345.6% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 4.4% | +96.6% | +1406.2% |
| Jun 2018 | Jun 2018 | 1 | 0.0% | -0.9% | +720.2% |
| Nov 2018 | Jul 2019 | 35 | 25.9% | +17.3% | +756.5% |
| Jul 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 0.4% | +49.8% | +719.3% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 1 | 0.2% | +64.1% | +721.1% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 10 | 36.6% | +170.8% | +840.9% |
| Average | 37 | — | +32.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02