GPN
Global Payments Inc. Industrials - Specialty Business Services Investor Relations →
Global Payments Inc. (GPN) closed at $84.08 as of 2026-07-31, trading 13.3% below its 200-week moving average of $96.93. This places GPN in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -16.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1284 weeks of data, GPN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GPN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.1%.
Return on equity stands at 2.9%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 24.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GPN would have grown to $1071, compared to $1019 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.1% vs 9.9% for the index — confirming GPN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 3 open-market purchases totaling $1,286,117. Notably, these purchases occurred while GPN is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 7.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GPN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GPN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying GPN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.3% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +15.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 76% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +44.1% vs +31.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GPN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices GPN would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where GPN's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $51.67 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $57.28 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $64.25 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $73.15 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $84.92 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from GPN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
GPN has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +22.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2002 | Oct 2002 | 15 | 23.2% | +30.0% | +1175.0% |
| Nov 2002 | Nov 2002 | 2 | 1.4% | +50.8% | +1191.4% |
| Jan 2003 | Mar 2003 | 7 | 8.1% | +63.8% | +1183.1% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 1.3% | -6.0% | +389.0% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 40 | 31.2% | +24.2% | +342.2% |
| May 2010 | May 2010 | 1 | 1.9% | +27.8% | +343.8% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 0.9% | +22.5% | +339.3% |
| Jun 2010 | Sep 2010 | 13 | 12.4% | +27.5% | +364.6% |
| Oct 2010 | Nov 2010 | 4 | 5.2% | +14.0% | +361.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 3.8% | -0.2% | +336.0% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 5 | 6.3% | -1.6% | +320.6% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 3.4% | +4.9% | +333.1% |
| May 2012 | Jul 2012 | 8 | 5.0% | +8.0% | +312.6% |
| Jul 2012 | Sep 2012 | 6 | 5.4% | +13.2% | +319.2% |
| Sep 2012 | Nov 2012 | 9 | 4.9% | +20.9% | +327.5% |
| Apr 2013 | Apr 2013 | 3 | 1.4% | +53.9% | +302.1% |
| Oct 2021 | Ongoing | 249+ | 41.4% | Ongoing | -38.4% |
| Average | 22 | — | +22.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPN below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Global Payments Inc. (GPN) is trading 13.3% below its 200-week moving average of $96.93. The current price is $84.08.
What is GPN's 200-week moving average price?
Global Payments Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $96.93 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GPN drops below its 200-week moving average?
GPN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is GPN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GPN as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 66. Return on equity is 2.9%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GPN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 24.7 years, $100 invested in GPN would have grown to $1071, compared to $1019 for the S&P 500. That's 10.1% annualized vs 9.9% for the index. GPN has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does GPN pay a dividend?
Yes. Global Payments Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 115.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31