GPI
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Auto & Truck Dealerships Investor Relations →
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) closed at $346.28 as of 2026-02-02, trading 14.4% above its 200-week moving average of $302.74. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 17.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 29, GPI is in oversold territory.
Over the past 1427 weeks of data, GPI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GPI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.8%.
With a market cap of $4.4 billion, GPI is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 10.7%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 22.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 27.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GPI would have grown to $2478, compared to $1011 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.4% vs 8.8% for the index — confirming GPI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -32.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: GPI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GPI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying GPI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.9% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +13.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +55.8% vs +22.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GPI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GPI has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +27.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1999 | Apr 2001 | 81 | 46.7% | -40.2% | +2472.0% |
| Nov 2002 | Nov 2002 | 2 | 12.6% | +86.6% | +2143.0% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 2 | 4.8% | +82.9% | +1968.1% |
| Aug 2004 | Nov 2004 | 16 | 7.9% | +8.7% | +1408.6% |
| Jan 2005 | Nov 2005 | 46 | 20.1% | +9.5% | +1339.0% |
| Jul 2007 | Oct 2009 | 116 | 82.6% | -48.5% | +1097.5% |
| Oct 2009 | Mar 2010 | 18 | 19.7% | +38.7% | +1485.1% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 20 | 17.4% | +52.5% | +1402.9% |
| Jan 2016 | Nov 2016 | 46 | 29.4% | +33.8% | +539.2% |
| Apr 2017 | Sep 2017 | 25 | 24.0% | -4.9% | +465.1% |
| Oct 2017 | Oct 2017 | 2 | 1.8% | -19.7% | +435.5% |
| Dec 2017 | Jan 2018 | 1 | 0.6% | -25.3% | +422.7% |
| Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 1 | 4.1% | -8.5% | +438.0% |
| Mar 2018 | May 2018 | 10 | 13.9% | -4.3% | +477.0% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 5 | 11.0% | +32.0% | +484.6% |
| Sep 2018 | Apr 2019 | 27 | 27.3% | +41.6% | +465.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Jul 2020 | 18 | 48.8% | +236.9% | +593.8% |
| Average | 26 | — | +27.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02