GPI
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Auto & Truck Dealerships Investor Relations →
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) closed at $318.33 as of 2026-03-20, trading 3.8% above its 200-week moving average of $306.80. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -2.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 23, GPI is in oversold territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 1433 weeks of data, GPI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GPI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.8%.
With a market cap of $4.0 billion, GPI is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 11.2%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 15.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 27.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GPI would have grown to $2282, compared to $952 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.0% vs 8.5% for the index — confirming GPI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GPI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GPI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying GPI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.9% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +13.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +55.8% vs +22.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GPI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GPI has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +27.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1999 | Apr 2001 | 81 | 46.7% | -40.2% | +2268.4% |
| Nov 2002 | Nov 2002 | 2 | 12.6% | +86.6% | +1965.4% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 2 | 4.8% | +82.9% | +1804.4% |
| Aug 2004 | Nov 2004 | 16 | 7.9% | +8.7% | +1289.2% |
| Jan 2005 | Nov 2005 | 46 | 20.1% | +9.5% | +1225.1% |
| Jul 2007 | Oct 2009 | 116 | 82.6% | -48.5% | +1002.7% |
| Oct 2009 | Mar 2010 | 18 | 19.7% | +38.7% | +1359.6% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 20 | 17.4% | +52.5% | +1284.0% |
| Jan 2016 | Nov 2016 | 46 | 29.4% | +33.8% | +488.6% |
| Apr 2017 | Sep 2017 | 25 | 24.0% | -4.9% | +420.4% |
| Oct 2017 | Oct 2017 | 2 | 1.8% | -19.7% | +393.2% |
| Dec 2017 | Jan 2018 | 1 | 0.6% | -25.3% | +381.4% |
| Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 1 | 4.1% | -8.5% | +395.4% |
| Mar 2018 | May 2018 | 10 | 13.9% | -4.3% | +431.4% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 5 | 11.0% | +32.0% | +438.3% |
| Sep 2018 | Apr 2019 | 27 | 27.3% | +41.6% | +420.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Jul 2020 | 18 | 48.8% | +236.9% | +538.9% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 2.0% | Ongoing | +6.1% |
| Average | 24 | — | +27.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPI below its 200-week moving average?
No. Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) is currently 3.8% above its 200-week moving average of $306.80. It would need to fall to $306.80 to cross below the line.
What is GPI's 200-week moving average price?
Group 1 Automotive, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $306.80 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GPI drops below its 200-week moving average?
GPI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +27.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is GPI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GPI as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 23 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 5.6%. Return on equity is 11.2%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GPI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 27.5 years, $100 invested in GPI would have grown to $2282, compared to $952 for the S&P 500. That's 12.0% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. GPI has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does GPI pay a dividend?
Yes. Group 1 Automotive, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 69.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20