GPC

Genuine Parts Company Consumer Cyclical - Auto Parts Investor Relations →

NO
10.0% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 3.1% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $134.98
14-Week RSI 78

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) closed at $148.51 as of 2026-02-02, trading 10.0% above its 200-week moving average of $134.98. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 3.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 78, GPC is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2346 weeks of data, GPC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GPC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.3%.

With a market cap of $20.7 billion, GPC is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.3%. Return on equity stands at 17.0%, a solid level. The stock trades at 4.3x book value.

GPC is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 277.00%. Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 2.4% reduction over three years.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GPC would have grown to $1809, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. GPC has returned 9.1% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -11.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: GPC vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After GPC Crosses Below the Line?

Across 17 historical episodes, buying GPC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +4.2% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +3.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +16.8% vs +5.9% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GPC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

GPC has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +7.3% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Aug 1990Sep 199073.2%+25.4%+2938.1%
Oct 1990Oct 199031.0%+32.6%+2887.2%
Mar 1999Apr 199923.2%-14.2%+1154.0%
Aug 1999Feb 20017931.7%-23.2%+1096.7%
Mar 2001Apr 200138.7%+52.9%+1180.3%
Jan 2008Jan 200823.2%-4.8%+544.9%
Feb 2008Apr 200876.0%-29.1%+529.9%
Jun 2008Aug 200899.8%-14.4%+514.6%
Sep 2008Sep 200811.5%-9.8%+513.2%
Sep 2008Feb 20107337.8%-7.6%+507.3%
Jul 2017Sep 201796.0%+15.4%+128.0%
Nov 2017Nov 201731.9%+21.3%+120.6%
Mar 2018Mar 201811.1%+27.9%+114.6%
Aug 2019Sep 201933.0%+8.9%+99.4%
Feb 2020Jul 20202238.9%+24.9%+102.0%
Jul 2024Jul 202410.0%-0.7%+17.5%
Sep 2024Sep 202410.4%+7.2%+15.9%
Oct 2024Aug 20254216.2%+18.3%+35.3%
Oct 2025Jan 2026147.7%N/A+14.8%
Average15+7.3%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02