GPC
Genuine Parts Company Consumer Cyclical - Auto Parts Investor Relations →
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) closed at $96.38 as of 2026-03-20, trading 27.9% below its 200-week moving average of $133.72. This places GPC in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -21.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 30, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.3x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 2352 weeks of data, GPC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GPC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.3%.
With a market cap of $13.4 billion, GPC is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 1.5%. The stock trades at 3.0x book value.
GPC is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 441.00%. Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 2.4% reduction over three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GPC would have grown to $1185, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. GPC has returned 7.7% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -28% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GPC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GPC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying GPC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +4.2% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +3.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +16.8% vs +5.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GPC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GPC has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +7.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1990 | Sep 1990 | 7 | 3.2% | +25.4% | +1889.7% |
| Oct 1990 | Oct 1990 | 3 | 1.0% | +32.6% | +1856.4% |
| Mar 1999 | Apr 1999 | 2 | 3.2% | -14.2% | +721.3% |
| Aug 1999 | Feb 2001 | 79 | 31.7% | -23.2% | +683.8% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 3 | 8.7% | +52.9% | +738.5% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 3.2% | -4.8% | +322.4% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 7 | 6.0% | -29.1% | +312.5% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2008 | 9 | 9.8% | -14.4% | +302.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2008 | 1 | 1.5% | -9.8% | +301.6% |
| Sep 2008 | Feb 2010 | 73 | 37.8% | -7.6% | +297.7% |
| Jul 2017 | Sep 2017 | 9 | 6.0% | +15.4% | +49.3% |
| Nov 2017 | Nov 2017 | 3 | 1.9% | +21.3% | +44.5% |
| Mar 2018 | Mar 2018 | 1 | 1.1% | +27.9% | +40.6% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 3 | 3.0% | +8.9% | +30.6% |
| Feb 2020 | Jul 2020 | 22 | 38.9% | +24.9% | +32.3% |
| Jul 2024 | Jul 2024 | 1 | 0.0% | -0.7% | -23.0% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 0.4% | +7.2% | -24.1% |
| Oct 2024 | Aug 2025 | 42 | 16.2% | +18.3% | -11.4% |
| Oct 2025 | Jan 2026 | 14 | 7.7% | N/A | -24.8% |
| Feb 2026 | Ongoing | 5+ | 27.9% | Ongoing | -17.6% |
| Average | 14 | — | +7.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Genuine Parts Company (GPC) is trading 27.9% below its 200-week moving average of $133.72. The current price is $96.38.
What is GPC's 200-week moving average price?
Genuine Parts Company's 200-week moving average is $133.72 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GPC drops below its 200-week moving average?
GPC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is GPC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GPC as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 30. Free cash flow yield is 5.1%. Return on equity is 1.5%. Price-to-book is 3.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GPC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in GPC would have grown to $1185, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 7.7% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. GPC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does GPC pay a dividend?
Yes. Genuine Parts Company currently pays a dividend yield of 441.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20