GNTX
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Gentex Corporation (GNTX) closed at $22.24 as of 2026-09-18, trading 17.2% below its 200-week moving average of $26.86. This places GNTX in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -15.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 26, GNTX is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.88 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2286 weeks of data, GNTX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 41 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GNTX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.7%.
With a market cap of $4.7 billion, GNTX is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 16.4%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.0% over the past three years. GNTX passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GNTX would have grown to $4516, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.0% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming GNTX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 33.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GNTX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GNTX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 29 historical episodes, buying GNTX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.7% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +11.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 72% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.7% vs +23.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GNTX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices GNTX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where GNTX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-23.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $21.46 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $23.29 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $25.46 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $28.08 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $31.29 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.50 | $0.58 | +15.8% |
| 2026-04-24 | $0.45 | $0.48 | +6.1% |
| 2026-01-30 | $0.43 | $0.44 | +2.2% |
| 2025-10-24 | $0.47 | $0.46 | -2.0% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from GNTX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
GNTX has crossed below its 200-week MA 41 times with an average 1-year return of +21.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1984 | Feb 1984 | 5 | 10.2% | +4.8% | +43768.3% |
| Apr 1984 | Apr 1984 | 2 | 5.7% | -7.3% | +44838.2% |
| May 1984 | Jun 1984 | 7 | 26.3% | +18.8% | +57476.9% |
| Jul 1984 | Jul 1984 | 2 | 4.9% | -14.6% | +44838.2% |
| Aug 1984 | Jan 1985 | 22 | 29.6% | +7.5% | +45961.5% |
| Jan 1985 | Feb 1985 | 1 | 0.9% | +21.4% | +43768.3% |
| Feb 1985 | Aug 1985 | 25 | 19.0% | +21.4% | +43768.3% |
| Sep 1985 | Nov 1985 | 11 | 23.1% | +69.2% | +47142.5% |
| Oct 1987 | Nov 1987 | 3 | 8.8% | +38.5% | +35331.8% |
| Aug 1990 | Sep 1990 | 5 | 4.3% | +64.6% | +19092.3% |
| Oct 1990 | Oct 1990 | 1 | 5.8% | +87.5% | +19092.3% |
| Nov 1990 | Jan 1991 | 11 | 22.9% | +126.7% | +20371.8% |
| Nov 2000 | Jan 2001 | 7 | 16.0% | +36.2% | +647.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 9.8% | +36.3% | +592.0% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 3.1% | +29.9% | +477.6% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 4.2% | +45.6% | +466.3% |
| Feb 2003 | Apr 2003 | 7 | 9.3% | +52.9% | +435.5% |
| Mar 2005 | Apr 2005 | 3 | 1.9% | +13.5% | +345.3% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | 3.8% | -7.1% | +339.8% |
| Feb 2006 | Mar 2006 | 1 | 1.3% | +1.6% | +317.3% |
| Apr 2006 | Nov 2006 | 31 | 21.4% | +1.6% | +314.3% |
| Dec 2006 | Jan 2007 | 8 | 8.0% | +22.3% | +315.1% |
| Feb 2007 | Apr 2007 | 8 | 2.8% | +1.2% | +310.6% |
| Dec 2007 | Mar 2008 | 11 | 10.7% | -40.2% | +308.1% |
| Jun 2008 | Sep 2008 | 14 | 13.8% | -13.5% | +303.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Jul 2009 | 43 | 54.9% | +21.9% | +438.9% |
| Aug 2009 | Sep 2009 | 4 | 2.4% | +30.1% | +336.3% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 2 | 4.2% | +42.4% | +346.0% |
| Jul 2012 | Apr 2013 | 39 | 20.3% | +43.4% | +269.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 2.8% | +74.6% | +20.0% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 3.2% | +7.1% | -10.2% |
| Jul 2022 | Aug 2022 | 3 | 1.3% | +18.3% | -12.4% |
| Aug 2022 | Nov 2022 | 11 | 14.9% | +17.8% | -13.5% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 5.7% | +15.2% | -12.8% |
| Jan 2023 | Jun 2023 | 22 | 7.5% | +21.5% | -16.6% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 3.3% | +12.8% | -16.9% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 3 | 5.7% | -10.2% | -22.5% |
| Sep 2024 | Oct 2024 | 7 | 5.1% | -3.3% | -22.9% |
| Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | 2 | 0.8% | -20.6% | -23.6% |
| Dec 2024 | Sep 2025 | 39 | 27.9% | -20.4% | -22.6% |
| Sep 2025 | Ongoing | 51+ | 24.5% | Ongoing | -17.7% |
| Average | 10 | — | +21.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GNTX below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Gentex Corporation (GNTX) is trading 17.2% below its 200-week moving average of $26.86. The current price is $22.24.
What is GNTX's 200-week moving average price?
Gentex Corporation's 200-week moving average is $26.86 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GNTX drops below its 200-week moving average?
GNTX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 41 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +21.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is GNTX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GNTX as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 26 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 7.6%. Return on equity is 16.4%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GNTX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in GNTX would have grown to $4516, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 12.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. GNTX has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does GNTX pay a dividend?
Yes. Gentex Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 214.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18