GLAD

Gladstone Capital Corporation Financial Services - BDC Investor Relations →

NO
0.5% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 4.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $18.60
14-Week RSI 58
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.2x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.91

Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) closed at $18.69 as of 2026-06-19, trading 0.5% above its 200-week moving average of $18.60. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 4.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1198 weeks of data, GLAD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GLAD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +16.8%.

With a market cap of $422 million, GLAD is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 8.4%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.

Share count has increased 30.1% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 23 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GLAD would have grown to $379, compared to $1144 for the S&P 500. GLAD has returned 6.0% annualized vs 11.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: GLAD vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After GLAD Crosses Below the Line?

Across 20 historical episodes, buying GLAD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.6% after 12 months (median +20.0%), compared to +10.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 53% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.4% vs +23.5% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GLAD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. GLAD currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score +1.23σ
Current FCF Yield -21.56%
Baseline Yield -23.49%
Historical σ 1.69pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from GLAD's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -1.09σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.62σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative -0.04σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -7.6pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 25th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +18.0pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-120.0pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

GLAD has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +16.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jul 2007Aug 200728.7%-9.1%+195.5%
Sep 2007Oct 200710.2%-6.8%+186.6%
Oct 2007Nov 200746.0%-27.6%+203.8%
Dec 2007Mar 201012066.6%-56.7%+189.5%
May 2010Jul 20101211.6%+5.0%+259.8%
Aug 2010Sep 201048.2%-18.8%+286.2%
Sep 2010Sep 201010.5%-28.9%+261.0%
May 2011Jan 20123325.1%-15.2%+294.0%
Feb 2012Feb 201211.7%+20.1%+326.0%
Mar 2012Jun 2012147.0%+23.3%+327.0%
Nov 2012Nov 201210.7%+32.8%+329.9%
Jan 2015Feb 201510.6%-9.2%+260.7%
Dec 2015Mar 20161233.8%+41.8%+243.4%
May 2016May 201632.0%+55.9%+227.1%
Jun 2016Jun 201610.2%+54.0%+224.8%
Dec 2018Dec 201815.0%+59.8%+161.8%
Mar 2020Aug 20202138.4%+57.5%+127.0%
Aug 2020Sep 202063.0%+68.0%+108.6%
Oct 2020Nov 202011.6%+73.6%+107.5%
Feb 2026Apr 20261112.0%N/A+4.2%
Average12+16.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is GLAD below its 200-week moving average?

No. Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) is currently 0.5% above its 200-week moving average of $18.60. It would need to fall to $18.60 to cross below the line.

What is GLAD's 200-week moving average price?

Gladstone Capital Corporation's 200-week moving average is $18.60 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when GLAD drops below its 200-week moving average?

GLAD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +16.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.

Is GLAD a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about GLAD as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 58. Free cash flow yield is 8.3%. Return on equity is 8.4%. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does GLAD compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 23 years, $100 invested in GLAD would have grown to $379, compared to $1144 for the S&P 500. That's 6.0% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. GLAD has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does GLAD pay a dividend?

Yes. Gladstone Capital Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 957.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19