GIII
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. Consumer Cyclical - Apparel Manufacturing Investor Relations →
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) closed at $36.41 as of 2026-07-31, trading 41.5% above its 200-week moving average of $25.73. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 36.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 67, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.92 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1863 weeks of data, GIII has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GIII at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +16.1%.
With a market cap of $1536 million, GIII is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 7.2%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.7% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GIII would have grown to $1161, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. GIII has returned 7.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GIII vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GIII Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying GIII when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.5% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +13.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 56% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +68.7% vs +28.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GIII crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices GIII would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where GIII's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-09-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $26.73 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $29.11 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $31.95 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $35.41 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $39.71 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from GIII's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
GIII has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +16.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1990 | Dec 1992 | 107 | 74.0% | +55.6% | +3168.4% |
| Dec 1992 | Jan 1993 | 1 | 0.6% | -45.3% | +1278.9% |
| Mar 1993 | Apr 1993 | 1 | 0.4% | -32.3% | +1257.6% |
| Apr 1993 | Feb 1997 | 199 | 73.6% | -40.3% | +1323.3% |
| Aug 1998 | Dec 1998 | 18 | 54.2% | -6.5% | +3736.8% |
| Jan 1999 | Mar 2000 | 62 | 47.0% | +7.4% | +3168.4% |
| Oct 2002 | Nov 2002 | 4 | 15.2% | +105.2% | +2198.1% |
| Jan 2003 | Mar 2003 | 8 | 21.2% | +71.6% | +1950.4% |
| Apr 2003 | Apr 2003 | 1 | 0.7% | +33.7% | +1720.3% |
| May 2003 | May 2003 | 3 | 2.9% | +35.0% | +1738.5% |
| Jul 2004 | Jan 2005 | 26 | 19.6% | +41.9% | +1404.9% |
| Mar 2005 | Mar 2005 | 1 | 4.0% | +123.0% | +1411.1% |
| May 2005 | Jun 2005 | 4 | 6.6% | +85.1% | +1400.8% |
| Nov 2008 | Aug 2009 | 41 | 73.2% | +39.6% | +492.6% |
| Sep 2009 | Sep 2009 | 1 | 0.3% | +125.1% | +461.8% |
| Nov 2011 | Dec 2011 | 3 | 14.0% | +80.5% | +274.1% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 3 | 2.7% | -42.7% | -1.8% |
| Aug 2016 | May 2018 | 91 | 54.1% | -15.9% | +11.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Mar 2019 | 25 | 34.8% | -39.0% | -8.6% |
| May 2019 | Feb 2021 | 91 | 82.3% | -71.8% | -2.0% |
| Jul 2021 | Jul 2021 | 1 | 1.5% | -30.3% | +27.7% |
| Sep 2021 | Nov 2021 | 8 | 6.7% | -36.6% | +25.6% |
| Nov 2021 | Apr 2022 | 19 | 15.3% | -54.0% | +32.3% |
| Apr 2022 | Sep 2023 | 71 | 48.5% | -40.7% | +38.9% |
| Apr 2025 | Apr 2025 | 2 | 4.0% | +20.7% | +49.0% |
| Jun 2025 | Aug 2025 | 10 | 17.9% | +50.8% | +63.3% |
| Average | 31 | — | +16.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GIII below its 200-week moving average?
No. G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) is currently 41.5% above its 200-week moving average of $25.73. It would need to fall to $25.73 to cross below the line.
What is GIII's 200-week moving average price?
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.'s 200-week moving average is $25.73 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GIII drops below its 200-week moving average?
GIII has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +16.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 31 weeks on average.
Is GIII a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GIII as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 67. Free cash flow yield is 8.4%. Return on equity is 7.2%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GIII compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in GIII would have grown to $1161, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 7.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. GIII has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does GIII pay a dividend?
Yes. G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. currently pays a dividend yield of 109.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31