GH

Guardant Health, Inc. Healthcare - Diagnostics Investor Relations →

NO
182.1% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 184.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $46.72
14-Week RSI 75
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.2x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.10

Guardant Health, Inc. (GH) closed at $131.78 as of 2026-06-19, trading 182.1% above its 200-week moving average of $46.72. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 184.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, GH is in overbought territory.

Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.10 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 354 weeks of data, GH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +44.8%.

With a market cap of $17.5 billion, GH is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. The stock trades at -95.7x book value.

Share count has increased 27.3% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 6.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GH would have grown to $204, compared to $279 for the S&P 500. GH has returned 11.0% annualized vs 16.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: GH vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After GH Crosses Below the Line?

Across 6 historical episodes, buying GH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +69.8% after 12 months (median +67.0%), compared to +17.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -13.5% vs +36.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. GH currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score +1.91σ
Current FCF Yield -1.42%
Baseline Yield -1.91%
Historical σ 0.25pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from GH's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation N/A Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -2.81σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -3.0pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +7.4pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+16.4pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Advertisement

Historical Touches

GH has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +44.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 2019Oct 201934.8%+78.6%+110.5%
Mar 2020Apr 2020311.4%+127.2%+105.7%
Nov 2021Dec 202112.2%-40.7%+45.3%
Jan 2022Apr 202517277.2%-70.5%+50.0%
May 2025Jun 2025415.8%+129.4%+215.9%
Jul 2025Aug 202510.5%N/A+218.2%
Average31+44.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is GH below its 200-week moving average?

No. Guardant Health, Inc. (GH) is currently 182.1% above its 200-week moving average of $46.72. It would need to fall to $46.72 to cross below the line.

What is GH's 200-week moving average price?

Guardant Health, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $46.72 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when GH drops below its 200-week moving average?

GH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +44.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 31 weeks on average.

Is GH a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about GH as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 75 (overbought). Free cash flow is currently negative. Price-to-book is -95.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does GH compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 6.8 years, $100 invested in GH would have grown to $204, compared to $279 for the S&P 500. That's 11.0% annualized vs 16.2% for the index. GH has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19