GGG
Graco Inc. Industrials - Fluid Handling Investor Relations →
Graco Inc. (GGG) closed at $79.19 as of 2026-05-01, trading 1.2% above its 200-week moving average of $78.24. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 4.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 39, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.02 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2358 weeks of data, GGG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GGG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +43.5%.
With a market cap of $13.1 billion, GGG is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.9%. Return on equity stands at 19.8%, a solid level. The stock trades at 4.8x book value.
GGG passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GGG would have grown to $23820, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.8% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming GGG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 53.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GGG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GGG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying GGG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.1% after 12 months (median +28.0%), compared to -1.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.5% vs +11.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GGG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GGG has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +43.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Apr 1981 | 8 | 8.6% | +54.5% | +134330.6% |
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 1 | 0.2% | +30.8% | +113649.3% |
| Jul 1982 | Sep 1982 | 9 | 9.0% | +92.3% | +113649.3% |
| Oct 1982 | Nov 1982 | 2 | 1.4% | +73.1% | +113649.3% |
| Jul 1984 | Jul 1984 | 3 | 8.5% | +25.6% | +91604.9% |
| Dec 1984 | Jan 1985 | 4 | 8.4% | +86.0% | +91604.9% |
| Mar 1985 | Apr 1985 | 1 | 6.4% | +145.5% | +89520.8% |
| Apr 1985 | May 1985 | 3 | 5.7% | +163.8% | +83800.3% |
| Apr 1989 | May 1989 | 5 | 3.4% | +37.4% | +37308.0% |
| Jul 1989 | Sep 1989 | 10 | 7.3% | +42.1% | +35961.7% |
| Sep 1989 | Oct 1989 | 4 | 1.0% | +0.1% | +34952.9% |
| Dec 1989 | Jan 1990 | 2 | 3.3% | +30.8% | +35186.1% |
| Jan 1990 | Feb 1990 | 2 | 2.0% | +44.3% | +34647.6% |
| Aug 1990 | Nov 1990 | 14 | 14.9% | +52.4% | +38245.2% |
| Dec 2007 | Mar 2008 | 13 | 10.9% | -26.8% | +829.2% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 1 | 0.1% | -40.5% | +753.2% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 2 | 2.3% | -29.8% | +759.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Mar 2010 | 82 | 59.3% | -29.2% | +769.9% |
| Apr 2010 | Apr 2010 | 1 | 0.4% | +46.9% | +859.1% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 7 | 8.7% | +69.1% | +901.3% |
| Aug 2010 | Sep 2010 | 6 | 7.5% | +35.0% | +917.8% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 1.1% | +53.0% | +46.1% |
| Average | 8 | — | +43.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GGG below its 200-week moving average?
No. Graco Inc. (GGG) is currently 1.2% above its 200-week moving average of $78.24. It would need to fall to $78.24 to cross below the line.
What is GGG's 200-week moving average price?
Graco Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $78.24 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GGG drops below its 200-week moving average?
GGG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +43.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.
Is GGG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GGG as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 39. Free cash flow yield is 3.9%. Return on equity is 19.8%. Price-to-book is 4.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GGG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in GGG would have grown to $23820, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 17.8% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. GGG has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does GGG pay a dividend?
Yes. Graco Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 149.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01