GGG
Graco Inc. Industrials - Fluid Handling Investor Relations →
Graco Inc. (GGG) closed at $92.76 as of 2026-02-02, trading 20.8% above its 200-week moving average of $76.81. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 13.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 78, GGG is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, GGG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GGG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +43.5%.
With a market cap of $15.4 billion, GGG is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.4%. Return on equity stands at 19.9%, a solid level. The stock trades at 5.8x book value.
GGG passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GGG would have grown to $27808, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 18.5% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming GGG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 16.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: GGG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GGG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying GGG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.1% after 12 months (median +28.0%), compared to -1.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.5% vs +11.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GGG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GGG has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +43.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Apr 1981 | 8 | 8.6% | +54.5% | +156836.4% |
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 1 | 0.2% | +30.8% | +132692.7% |
| Jul 1982 | Sep 1982 | 9 | 9.0% | +92.3% | +132692.7% |
| Oct 1982 | Nov 1982 | 2 | 1.4% | +73.1% | +132692.7% |
| Jul 1984 | Jul 1984 | 3 | 8.5% | +25.6% | +106957.8% |
| Dec 1984 | Jan 1985 | 4 | 8.4% | +86.0% | +106957.8% |
| Mar 1985 | Apr 1985 | 1 | 6.4% | +145.5% | +104524.8% |
| Apr 1985 | May 1985 | 3 | 5.7% | +163.8% | +97846.6% |
| Apr 1989 | May 1989 | 5 | 3.4% | +37.4% | +43570.7% |
| Jul 1989 | Sep 1989 | 10 | 7.3% | +42.1% | +41998.9% |
| Sep 1989 | Oct 1989 | 4 | 1.0% | +0.1% | +40821.3% |
| Dec 1989 | Jan 1990 | 2 | 3.3% | +30.8% | +41093.5% |
| Jan 1990 | Feb 1990 | 2 | 2.0% | +44.3% | +40464.9% |
| Aug 1990 | Nov 1990 | 14 | 14.9% | +52.4% | +44664.8% |
| Dec 2007 | Mar 2008 | 13 | 10.9% | -26.8% | +984.7% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 1 | 0.1% | -40.5% | +896.1% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 2 | 2.3% | -29.8% | +903.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Mar 2010 | 82 | 59.3% | -29.2% | +915.5% |
| Apr 2010 | Apr 2010 | 1 | 0.4% | +46.9% | +1019.6% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 7 | 8.7% | +69.1% | +1068.9% |
| Aug 2010 | Sep 2010 | 6 | 7.5% | +35.0% | +1088.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 1.1% | +53.0% | +70.5% |
| Average | 8 | — | +43.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02