GENI

Genius Sports Limited Technology - Sports Data Investor Relations โ†’

YES
11.9% BELOW
โ†“ Approaching Was 26.1% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $6.91
14-Week RSI 22 ๐Ÿ“‰

Genius Sports Limited (GENI) closed at $6.09 as of 2026-02-02, trading 11.9% below its 200-week moving average of $6.91. This places GENI in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 26.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 22, GENI is in oversold territory.

Over the past 230 weeks of data, GENI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times. On average, these episodes lasted 79 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -70.2%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $1454 million, GENI is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.4%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at -18.7%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.

Share count has increased 9.1% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 4.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GENI would have grown to $33, compared to $171 for the S&P 500. GENI has returned -21.7% annualized vs 12.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: GENI vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After GENI Crosses Below the Line?

Across 1 historical episodes, buying GENI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -41.0% after 12 months (median -41.0%), compared to -9.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -32.0% vs +3.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GENI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

GENI has crossed below its 200-week MA 2 times with an average 1-year return of +-70.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Nov 2021Nov 202415780.8%-70.2%-61.8%
Feb 2026Ongoing1+11.9%OngoingN/A
Average79โ€”+-70.2%โ€”

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02