GEF
Greif, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Packaging & Containers Investor Relations →
Greif, Inc. (GEF) closed at $75.29 as of 2026-02-02, trading 24.9% above its 200-week moving average of $60.27. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 17.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 87, GEF is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1514 weeks of data, GEF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GEF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.9%.
With a market cap of $4.3 billion, GEF is a mid-cap stock. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Over the past 29.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GEF would have grown to $1138, compared to $1440 for the S&P 500. GEF has returned 8.7% annualized vs 9.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -12.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: GEF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GEF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 31 historical episodes, buying GEF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.7% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +12.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +17.3% vs +20.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GEF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GEF has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +9.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1997 | Jun 1997 | 13 | 15.7% | +27.8% | +1087.6% |
| Jun 1997 | Jul 1997 | 1 | 1.4% | +40.0% | +1109.3% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 2 | 9.1% | +4.5% | +1077.8% |
| Nov 1998 | Nov 1998 | 2 | 3.0% | -2.7% | +982.8% |
| Dec 1998 | Dec 1999 | 54 | 27.8% | -5.8% | +1023.6% |
| Jan 2000 | Feb 2000 | 6 | 7.5% | -8.2% | +1046.5% |
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 1 | 2.5% | +5.4% | +1027.2% |
| Jun 2000 | Jun 2000 | 1 | 4.3% | +7.4% | +1046.8% |
| Jul 2000 | Sep 2000 | 10 | 14.9% | +6.8% | +1036.7% |
| Dec 2000 | Jun 2001 | 26 | 21.6% | +0.6% | +1014.4% |
| Jul 2001 | Jul 2001 | 1 | 0.4% | +13.3% | +984.1% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 13 | 21.9% | -0.4% | +1091.3% |
| Jul 2002 | Sep 2003 | 63 | 38.3% | -11.0% | +1122.1% |
| Oct 2008 | May 2009 | 30 | 41.2% | +31.3% | +217.9% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 4 | 6.4% | +41.4% | +220.8% |
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 0.9% | +38.7% | +178.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 24 | 17.2% | -16.9% | +149.4% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2012 | 1 | 2.1% | +8.1% | +156.1% |
| May 2012 | Feb 2013 | 39 | 16.1% | +16.8% | +173.8% |
| Apr 2013 | May 2013 | 4 | 6.7% | +16.7% | +160.5% |
| Sep 2013 | Sep 2013 | 1 | 0.4% | -3.6% | +140.5% |
| Aug 2014 | Dec 2014 | 16 | 10.8% | -36.6% | +140.9% |
| Jan 2015 | Jul 2016 | 81 | 42.2% | -31.0% | +154.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2019 | 53 | 28.9% | +3.6% | +122.0% |
| Dec 2019 | Oct 2020 | 41 | 41.0% | +13.1% | +113.1% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 4.6% | +64.3% | +119.6% |
| Jun 2024 | Jul 2024 | 2 | 3.0% | +17.0% | +38.1% |
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2024 | 1 | 0.5% | +18.0% | +30.4% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 3.8% | +28.6% | +34.4% |
| Feb 2025 | Jun 2025 | 15 | 14.4% | N/A | +30.1% |
| Sep 2025 | Nov 2025 | 8 | 4.7% | N/A | +28.5% |
| Average | 17 | — | +9.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02