GEF
Greif, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Packaging & Containers Investor Relations →
Greif, Inc. (GEF) closed at $62.60 as of 2026-03-20, trading 3.9% above its 200-week moving average of $60.28. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 11.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.0x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 1520 weeks of data, GEF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GEF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.5%.
With a market cap of $3.6 billion, GEF is a mid-cap stock. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Over the past 29.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GEF would have grown to $955, compared to $1356 for the S&P 500. GEF has returned 8.0% annualized vs 9.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -12.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GEF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GEF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 31 historical episodes, buying GEF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.5% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +12.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +17.3% vs +20.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GEF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GEF has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +10.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1997 | Jun 1997 | 13 | 15.7% | +27.8% | +895.7% |
| Jun 1997 | Jul 1997 | 1 | 1.4% | +40.0% | +913.9% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 2 | 9.1% | +4.5% | +887.5% |
| Nov 1998 | Nov 1998 | 2 | 3.0% | -2.7% | +807.9% |
| Dec 1998 | Dec 1999 | 54 | 27.8% | -5.8% | +842.1% |
| Jan 2000 | Feb 2000 | 6 | 7.5% | -8.2% | +861.2% |
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 1 | 2.5% | +5.4% | +845.0% |
| Jun 2000 | Jun 2000 | 1 | 4.3% | +7.4% | +861.5% |
| Jul 2000 | Sep 2000 | 10 | 14.9% | +6.8% | +853.1% |
| Dec 2000 | Jun 2001 | 26 | 21.6% | +0.6% | +834.3% |
| Jul 2001 | Jul 2001 | 1 | 0.4% | +13.3% | +809.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 13 | 21.9% | -0.4% | +898.8% |
| Jul 2002 | Sep 2003 | 63 | 38.3% | -11.0% | +924.7% |
| Oct 2008 | May 2009 | 30 | 41.2% | +31.3% | +166.5% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 4 | 6.4% | +41.4% | +168.9% |
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 0.9% | +38.7% | +133.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 24 | 17.2% | -16.9% | +109.1% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2012 | 1 | 2.1% | +8.1% | +114.8% |
| May 2012 | Feb 2013 | 39 | 16.1% | +16.8% | +129.5% |
| Apr 2013 | May 2013 | 4 | 6.7% | +16.7% | +118.4% |
| Sep 2013 | Sep 2013 | 1 | 0.4% | -3.6% | +101.6% |
| Aug 2014 | Dec 2014 | 16 | 10.8% | -36.6% | +102.0% |
| Jan 2015 | Jul 2016 | 81 | 42.2% | -31.0% | +113.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2019 | 53 | 28.9% | +3.6% | +86.1% |
| Dec 2019 | Oct 2020 | 41 | 41.0% | +13.1% | +78.6% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 4.6% | +64.3% | +84.1% |
| Jun 2024 | Jul 2024 | 2 | 3.0% | +17.0% | +15.7% |
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2024 | 1 | 0.5% | +18.0% | +9.3% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 3.8% | +28.6% | +12.7% |
| Feb 2025 | Jun 2025 | 15 | 14.4% | +29.0% | +9.1% |
| Sep 2025 | Nov 2025 | 8 | 4.7% | N/A | +7.7% |
| Average | 17 | — | +10.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GEF below its 200-week moving average?
No. Greif, Inc. (GEF) is currently 3.9% above its 200-week moving average of $60.28. It would need to fall to $60.28 to cross below the line.
What is GEF's 200-week moving average price?
Greif, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $60.28 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GEF drops below its 200-week moving average?
GEF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is GEF a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GEF as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 42. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GEF compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 29.2 years, $100 invested in GEF would have grown to $955, compared to $1356 for the S&P 500. That's 8.0% annualized vs 9.4% for the index. GEF has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does GEF pay a dividend?
Yes. Greif, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 355.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20