GDEN
Golden Entertainment, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Resorts & Casinos Investor Relations →
Golden Entertainment, Inc. (GDEN) closed at $27.69 as of 2026-02-02, trading 14.2% below its 200-week moving average of $32.27. This places GDEN in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -16.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 72, GDEN is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1365 weeks of data, GDEN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GDEN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.7%.
With a market cap of $725 million, GDEN is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.7%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 1.2%. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.0% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 26.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GDEN would have grown to $472, compared to $748 for the S&P 500. GDEN has returned 6.1% annualized vs 8.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -45.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: GDEN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GDEN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying GDEN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +1.1% after 12 months (median -9.0%), compared to +7.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +10.6% vs +8.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GDEN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GDEN has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +5.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1999 | Jan 2001 | 57 | 28.0% | -5.6% | +345.7% |
| Apr 2001 | Apr 2001 | 1 | 1.9% | -21.5% | +313.4% |
| May 2001 | May 2001 | 2 | 0.7% | -14.6% | +305.0% |
| Jun 2001 | Jun 2003 | 104 | 51.7% | -8.6% | +406.3% |
| Nov 2005 | Jan 2006 | 10 | 20.1% | +50.4% | +153.1% |
| Jul 2006 | Sep 2006 | 10 | 17.5% | +31.0% | +114.6% |
| Nov 2006 | Dec 2006 | 1 | 4.7% | -29.7% | +98.2% |
| Jan 2007 | Mar 2007 | 11 | 20.5% | -38.8% | +89.4% |
| May 2007 | May 2007 | 1 | 2.3% | -43.4% | +78.1% |
| Jul 2007 | Jul 2007 | 1 | 6.9% | -50.4% | +81.0% |
| Aug 2007 | May 2012 | 247 | 77.0% | -39.5% | +72.8% |
| Aug 2012 | Nov 2012 | 12 | 14.2% | +55.0% | +639.3% |
| Nov 2018 | Nov 2018 | 3 | 10.9% | +11.2% | +115.9% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 14.8% | +35.7% | +121.9% |
| Mar 2019 | Dec 2019 | 39 | 28.2% | -31.8% | +139.8% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 4 | 8.3% | +10.2% | +69.2% |
| Feb 2020 | Dec 2020 | 42 | 80.0% | +45.1% | +91.5% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 10.6% | +165.9% | +83.4% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 2.4% | -1.1% | -6.0% |
| Feb 2024 | Mar 2024 | 3 | 5.5% | -6.3% | -13.4% |
| Apr 2024 | Ongoing | 96+ | 40.2% | Ongoing | -14.0% |
| Average | 31 | — | +5.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02