GCO

Genesco Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Apparel Retail Investor Relations →

YES
24.9% BELOW
↓ Approaching Was -24.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $33.09
14-Week RSI 51
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.2x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.13

Genesco Inc. (GCO) closed at $24.84 as of 2026-03-20, trading 24.9% below its 200-week moving average of $33.09. This places GCO in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -24.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.13 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2721 weeks of data, GCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 43 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GCO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.8%.

With a market cap of $268 million, GCO is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 2.4%. The stock trades at 0.5x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 18.0% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GCO would have grown to $252, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. GCO has returned 2.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: GCO vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After GCO Crosses Below the Line?

Across 25 historical episodes, buying GCO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -1.5% after 12 months (median -22.0%), compared to +13.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 27% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +25.6% vs +31.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GCO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

GCO has crossed below its 200-week MA 43 times with an average 1-year return of +7.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 1974Dec 197510056.4%-33.3%+306.6%
Oct 1976Mar 19772216.0%-26.7%+388.0%
Mar 1977Mar 197712.8%+20.9%+410.7%
Jun 1977Jan 19783231.3%+26.8%+435.6%
Oct 1978Sep 19809943.4%-24.3%+493.5%
Sep 1980Oct 198055.5%+23.7%+477.9%
Feb 1982Jan 19834630.7%+12.2%+435.6%
Jan 1983Jan 198312.3%+43.9%+435.6%
Mar 1983Mar 198312.6%+17.1%+435.6%
Feb 1984Feb 198414.3%-8.3%+357.5%
Mar 1984Mar 198415.0%-8.3%+357.5%
Apr 1984May 198457.9%-10.4%+357.5%
Jul 1984Jul 198425.2%-41.2%+330.6%
Sep 1984Jun 198714156.1%-49.1%+314.3%
Jun 1987Jul 198711.1%-10.0%+449.0%
Oct 1987Jun 19883633.1%+43.3%+632.0%
Jun 1990Jun 199011.3%+2.4%+422.8%
Jul 1990Jun 19914742.1%+9.5%+422.8%
Jun 1991Jul 199139.8%+5.3%+477.9%
Oct 1991Oct 199114.4%+39.0%+435.6%
Nov 1991Dec 1991615.0%+71.4%+422.8%
May 1992May 199232.0%+77.3%+399.1%
Jun 1992Jul 1992711.1%+80.0%+388.0%
Oct 1993Oct 199328.2%-56.5%+377.4%
Nov 1993Apr 199612568.7%-65.3%+348.1%
Aug 1998Mar 19992948.4%+86.0%+339.2%
Jan 2000Mar 20001019.9%+132.9%+158.3%
Jul 2002Nov 20021636.1%+38.2%+102.6%
Dec 2002Feb 20046133.6%-12.5%+50.8%
Jul 2004Aug 200458.7%+92.7%+34.2%
Nov 2007Aug 20083941.7%-61.0%-17.6%
Sep 2008Mar 20107764.3%-19.5%-12.5%
May 2010May 201011.2%+41.5%-13.8%
Jun 2010Sep 20101414.9%+78.2%-13.2%
May 2015Mar 20164221.4%-1.2%-62.5%
Apr 2016Apr 201610.3%-24.0%-63.2%
May 2016Jul 2016129.5%-18.6%-62.1%
Aug 2016Dec 201917064.1%-52.7%-49.3%
Jan 2020Jan 20215276.3%-11.3%-42.4%
Aug 2022Sep 202212.9%-21.9%-42.2%
Sep 2022Oct 2022511.3%-30.9%-40.4%
Dec 2022Dec 202237.9%-28.8%-42.0%
Mar 2023Ongoing159+57.2%Ongoing-40.6%
Average32+7.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is GCO below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Genesco Inc. (GCO) is trading 24.9% below its 200-week moving average of $33.09. The current price is $24.84.

What is GCO's 200-week moving average price?

Genesco Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $33.09 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when GCO drops below its 200-week moving average?

GCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 43 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 32 weeks on average.

Is GCO a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about GCO as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 51. Return on equity is 2.4%. Price-to-book is 0.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does GCO compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in GCO would have grown to $252, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 2.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. GCO has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-03-20