GATX
GATX Corporation Industrials - Rental & Leasing Services Investor Relations →
GATX Corporation (GATX) closed at $196.35 as of 2026-05-01, trading 48.3% above its 200-week moving average of $132.44. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 50.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.93 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2727 weeks of data, GATX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GATX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.8%.
With a market cap of $7.0 billion, GATX is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 11.0%. The stock trades at 2.5x book value.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GATX would have grown to $3166, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.9% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming GATX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 6.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GATX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GATX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying GATX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.1% after 12 months (median +25.0%), compared to +4.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.9% vs +8.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GATX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
GATX has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +20.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1974 | Jul 1978 | 223 | 48.8% | -30.0% | +8146.5% |
| Oct 1978 | May 1979 | 31 | 16.5% | +21.7% | +12780.6% |
| Mar 1980 | May 1980 | 7 | 10.8% | +43.8% | +13314.9% |
| Sep 1981 | Jan 1983 | 71 | 33.7% | -15.3% | +11271.2% |
| Mar 1983 | May 1983 | 8 | 6.1% | +12.9% | +11499.3% |
| May 1983 | Jun 1983 | 1 | 0.5% | -0.3% | +10970.0% |
| Feb 1984 | Feb 1984 | 2 | 1.5% | +28.5% | +10911.8% |
| Apr 1984 | Apr 1984 | 1 | 0.7% | +13.9% | +10801.6% |
| May 1984 | Jun 1984 | 5 | 4.4% | +8.9% | +10999.9% |
| Jul 1984 | Jul 1984 | 3 | 3.8% | +9.8% | +10880.9% |
| Aug 1984 | Sep 1984 | 4 | 6.6% | +12.7% | +11514.4% |
| Aug 1990 | Dec 1990 | 20 | 24.9% | +68.0% | +5069.3% |
| Nov 1991 | Dec 1991 | 5 | 15.4% | +26.7% | +4702.8% |
| Jan 1992 | Mar 1992 | 6 | 6.5% | +37.7% | +4259.7% |
| Mar 1992 | Jul 1992 | 17 | 8.1% | +36.7% | +4169.1% |
| Aug 1992 | Aug 1992 | 3 | 4.1% | +54.2% | +4078.4% |
| Sep 1992 | Nov 1992 | 8 | 8.6% | +57.9% | +4049.8% |
| Oct 1999 | Oct 1999 | 1 | 1.1% | +47.5% | +1341.9% |
| Jan 2000 | Mar 2000 | 6 | 5.4% | +65.3% | +1363.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2003 | 116 | 55.2% | -23.1% | +1210.7% |
| Jan 2004 | Jun 2004 | 21 | 21.6% | +30.8% | +1447.8% |
| Jul 2004 | Aug 2004 | 6 | 7.0% | +40.9% | +1224.6% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 4 | 11.6% | -6.3% | +820.8% |
| Feb 2008 | Mar 2008 | 3 | 3.4% | -47.7% | +781.9% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2010 | 109 | 60.9% | -20.9% | +787.5% |
| Aug 2015 | Nov 2016 | 64 | 26.0% | -0.8% | +442.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Aug 2020 | 23 | 15.4% | +65.5% | +302.1% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 4 | 5.5% | +43.7% | +247.7% |
| Average | 28 | — | +20.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GATX below its 200-week moving average?
No. GATX Corporation (GATX) is currently 48.3% above its 200-week moving average of $132.44. It would need to fall to $132.44 to cross below the line.
What is GATX's 200-week moving average price?
GATX Corporation's 200-week moving average is $132.44 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GATX drops below its 200-week moving average?
GATX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +20.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is GATX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GATX as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 58. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 11.0%. Price-to-book is 2.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GATX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in GATX would have grown to $3166, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 10.9% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. GATX has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does GATX pay a dividend?
Yes. GATX Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 134.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01