GATX

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NO
47.6% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 43.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $127.64
14-Week RSI 87

GATX Corporation (GATX) closed at $188.43 as of 2026-02-02, trading 47.6% above its 200-week moving average of $127.64. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 43.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 87, GATX is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2715 weeks of data, GATX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GATX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.8%.

With a market cap of $6.7 billion, GATX is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 12.1%. The stock trades at 2.5x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GATX would have grown to $3028, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.8% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming GATX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: GATX vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After GATX Crosses Below the Line?

Across 16 historical episodes, buying GATX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.1% after 12 months (median +25.0%), compared to +4.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.9% vs +8.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GATX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

GATX has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +20.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 1974Jul 197822348.8%-30.0%+7785.5%
Oct 1978May 19793116.5%+21.7%+12216.8%
Mar 1980May 1980710.8%+43.8%+12727.6%
Sep 1981Jan 19837133.7%-15.3%+10773.4%
Mar 1983May 198386.1%+12.9%+10991.5%
May 1983Jun 198310.5%-0.3%+10485.4%
Feb 1984Feb 198421.5%+28.5%+10429.7%
Apr 1984Apr 198410.7%+13.9%+10324.4%
May 1984Jun 198454.4%+8.9%+10514.0%
Jul 1984Jul 198433.8%+9.8%+10400.2%
Aug 1984Sep 198446.6%+12.7%+11006.0%
Aug 1990Dec 19902024.9%+68.0%+4843.0%
Nov 1991Dec 1991515.4%+26.7%+4492.5%
Jan 1992Mar 199266.5%+37.7%+4068.8%
Mar 1992Jul 1992178.1%+36.7%+3982.2%
Aug 1992Aug 199234.1%+54.2%+3895.5%
Sep 1992Nov 199288.6%+57.9%+3868.1%
Oct 1999Oct 199911.1%+47.5%+1278.8%
Jan 2000Mar 200065.4%+65.3%+1299.7%
Sep 2001Dec 200311655.2%-23.1%+1153.3%
Jan 2004Jun 20042121.6%+30.8%+1380.0%
Jul 2004Aug 200467.0%+40.9%+1166.6%
Dec 2007Jan 2008411.6%-6.3%+780.5%
Feb 2008Mar 200833.4%-47.7%+743.3%
Sep 2008Nov 201010960.9%-20.9%+748.7%
Aug 2015Nov 20166426.0%-0.8%+418.7%
Mar 2020Aug 20202315.4%+65.5%+284.5%
Sep 2020Oct 202045.5%+43.7%+232.5%
Average28+20.8%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02