FUTU
Futu Holdings Limited Financial Services - Brokerage Investor Relations →
Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) closed at $112.01 as of 2026-09-18, trading 23.4% above its 200-week moving average of $90.79. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 24.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 63, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.42 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 345 weeks of data, FUTU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FUTU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +189.4%.
With a market cap of $15.7 billion, FUTU is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 30.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.1x book value.
Over the past 6.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FUTU would have grown to $1007, compared to $283 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 41.4% vs 16.9% for the index — confirming FUTU as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 129.2% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FUTU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FUTU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying FUTU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +198.2% after 12 months (median +60.0%), compared to +21.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 88% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +125.4% vs +43.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FUTU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from FUTU's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
FUTU has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +189.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2020 | May 2020 | 10 | 26.8% | +1220.6% | +906.8% |
| Nov 2021 | Jun 2022 | 30 | 48.0% | +6.0% | +134.2% |
| Jul 2022 | Nov 2022 | 18 | 29.2% | +2.9% | +155.1% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 2 | 15.5% | +34.4% | +186.6% |
| Feb 2023 | Jul 2023 | 24 | 26.1% | +5.7% | +153.8% |
| Aug 2023 | Aug 2023 | 3 | 10.4% | +18.3% | +136.7% |
| Nov 2023 | Apr 2024 | 21 | 21.8% | +60.3% | +114.0% |
| Jul 2024 | Sep 2024 | 9 | 11.4% | +166.8% | +89.1% |
| Average | 15 | — | +189.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FUTU below its 200-week moving average?
No. Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) is currently 23.4% above its 200-week moving average of $90.79. It would need to fall to $90.79 to cross below the line.
What is FUTU's 200-week moving average price?
Futu Holdings Limited's 200-week moving average is $90.79 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FUTU drops below its 200-week moving average?
FUTU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +189.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is FUTU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FUTU as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 63. Return on equity is 30.5%. Price-to-book is 3.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FUTU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 6.7 years, $100 invested in FUTU would have grown to $1007, compared to $283 for the S&P 500. That's 41.4% annualized vs 16.9% for the index. FUTU has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does FUTU pay a dividend?
Yes. Futu Holdings Limited currently pays a dividend yield of 233.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18