FUL
H.B. Fuller Company Basic Materials - Specialty Chemicals Investor Relations →
H.B. Fuller Company (FUL) closed at $49.41 as of 2026-09-18, trading 24.5% below its 200-week moving average of $65.47. This places FUL in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -21.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 29, FUL is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.88 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2747 weeks of data, FUL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 44 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FUL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +26.0%.
With a market cap of $2.7 billion, FUL is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 9.4%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FUL would have grown to $834, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. FUL has returned 6.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -1.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FUL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FUL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 30 historical episodes, buying FUL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.3% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +15.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.8% vs +31.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FUL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices FUL would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where FUL's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-09-23.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $50.01 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $53.50 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $57.53 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $62.20 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $67.71 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | $1.38 | $1.41 | +2.5% |
| 2026-03-25 | $0.55 | $0.57 | +2.7% |
| 2026-01-14 | $1.21 | $1.28 | +5.7% |
| 2025-09-24 | $1.24 | $1.26 | +1.9% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from FUL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
FUL has crossed below its 200-week MA 44 times with an average 1-year return of +26.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Mar 1974 | 6 | 33.3% | +13.4% | +24870.8% |
| Apr 1974 | Mar 1975 | 50 | 39.0% | -5.7% | +18911.9% |
| Apr 1975 | Apr 1975 | 1 | 5.6% | +53.8% | +21349.3% |
| Dec 1975 | Jan 1976 | 4 | 2.1% | +47.6% | +19817.2% |
| Mar 1980 | May 1980 | 10 | 11.7% | +55.1% | +10624.6% |
| May 1980 | Jun 1980 | 1 | 3.4% | +141.0% | +10624.6% |
| Apr 1982 | May 1982 | 2 | 2.4% | +121.1% | +7237.9% |
| Oct 1984 | Dec 1984 | 10 | 6.6% | +28.2% | +3960.8% |
| Aug 1988 | Aug 1988 | 3 | 5.9% | +19.9% | +1931.0% |
| Sep 1988 | Sep 1988 | 1 | 1.4% | +3.1% | +1881.7% |
| Oct 1988 | Jan 1989 | 14 | 8.2% | -4.7% | +1843.9% |
| Feb 1989 | May 1989 | 13 | 9.1% | -15.2% | +1805.1% |
| Jun 1989 | Jul 1989 | 3 | 2.7% | -4.0% | +1742.6% |
| Aug 1989 | Nov 1990 | 67 | 25.6% | -5.9% | +1786.1% |
| Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | 1.0% | +5.9% | +901.7% |
| Aug 1994 | Mar 1995 | 29 | 23.2% | +4.5% | +841.2% |
| May 1995 | Jun 1996 | 57 | 16.8% | -9.1% | +725.2% |
| Jul 1996 | Aug 1996 | 5 | 6.4% | +54.5% | +800.7% |
| Sep 1998 | Nov 1998 | 6 | 18.8% | +67.7% | +664.6% |
| Dec 1998 | Dec 1998 | 1 | 1.1% | +35.3% | +580.7% |
| Jan 1999 | Mar 1999 | 8 | 8.2% | +33.5% | +573.8% |
| Mar 2000 | Jun 2001 | 64 | 42.8% | -2.3% | +569.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 3 | 26.1% | +55.5% | +674.6% |
| Jan 2003 | Jan 2003 | 1 | 1.4% | +17.8% | +444.4% |
| Feb 2003 | Jul 2003 | 25 | 17.2% | +16.7% | +459.0% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 5.1% | -24.0% | +234.9% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2009 | 63 | 51.8% | +5.8% | +226.4% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 8.2% | +8.4% | +189.0% |
| May 2010 | Nov 2010 | 30 | 12.2% | +3.6% | +186.9% |
| Dec 2010 | Jan 2011 | 4 | 5.6% | +9.5% | +188.5% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 1 | 1.2% | +53.0% | +189.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 3.0% | +56.1% | +203.0% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 6 | 9.8% | +66.5% | +198.0% |
| Aug 2015 | Nov 2015 | 13 | 13.6% | +29.0% | +55.6% |
| Dec 2015 | Feb 2016 | 12 | 16.1% | +40.8% | +56.5% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 3 | 7.9% | +5.2% | +20.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 7 | 12.5% | +24.3% | +31.1% |
| May 2019 | Jul 2019 | 8 | 15.4% | -20.4% | +17.1% |
| Jul 2019 | Oct 2019 | 11 | 14.2% | +0.6% | +18.2% |
| Jan 2020 | Jan 2020 | 1 | 0.2% | +16.2% | +12.1% |
| Jan 2020 | Aug 2020 | 27 | 46.4% | +11.5% | +16.4% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | 3.5% | +45.5% | +16.6% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 4.3% | +57.5% | +17.4% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 92+ | 25.8% | Ongoing | -25.4% |
| Average | 15 | — | +26.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FUL below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, H.B. Fuller Company (FUL) is trading 24.5% below its 200-week moving average of $65.47. The current price is $49.41.
What is FUL's 200-week moving average price?
H.B. Fuller Company's 200-week moving average is $65.47 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FUL drops below its 200-week moving average?
FUL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 44 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +26.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is FUL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FUL as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 29 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 8.3%. Return on equity is 9.4%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FUL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in FUL would have grown to $834, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 6.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. FUL has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does FUL pay a dividend?
Yes. H.B. Fuller Company currently pays a dividend yield of 194.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18