FTI
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TechnipFMC plc (FTI) closed at $59.06 as of 2026-02-02, trading 154.8% above its 200-week moving average of $23.18. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 143.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 92, FTI is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1238 weeks of data, FTI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 75 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FTI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +29.5%.
With a market cap of $24.3 billion, FTI is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 29.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 7.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.1% over the past three years. FTI passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 23.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FTI would have grown to $1624, compared to $996 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.4% vs 10.1% for the index — confirming FTI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 4.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: FTI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FTI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying FTI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.7% after 12 months (median +30.0%), compared to +14.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +74.7% vs +31.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FTI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FTI has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +29.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 3 | 0.9% | +24.4% | +1977.0% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 3 | 4.7% | +29.4% | +1982.9% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 0.2% | +15.1% | +1967.6% |
| Oct 2008 | May 2009 | 30 | 35.3% | +88.2% | +464.5% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 2 | 6.1% | +49.7% | +374.9% |
| Nov 2014 | Oct 2022 | 412 | 75.9% | -30.1% | +81.1% |
| Average | 75 | — | +29.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02