FSLY
Fastly Inc. Technology - Cloud Services Investor Relations →
Fastly Inc. (FSLY) closed at $8.57 as of 2026-02-02, trading 24.3% below its 200-week moving average of $11.32. This places FSLY in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -18.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 303 weeks of data, FSLY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 82 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FSLY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +64.0%.
With a market cap of $1280 million, FSLY is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -14.6%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Share count has increased 19.6% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 5.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FSLY would have grown to $40, compared to $258 for the S&P 500. FSLY has returned -14.4% annualized vs 17.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: FSLY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FSLY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying FSLY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.7% after 12 months (median -74.0%), compared to +13.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -49.0% vs +18.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FSLY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FSLY has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +64.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 0.7% | +196.7% | -60.2% |
| May 2021 | Jun 2021 | 5 | 17.2% | -68.7% | -79.5% |
| Jul 2021 | Ongoing | 239+ | 82.1% | Ongoing | -82.9% |
| Average | 82 | — | +64.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02