FRPT
Freshpet, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Investor Relations →
Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) closed at $64.54 as of 2026-03-20, trading 22.6% below its 200-week moving average of $83.35. This places FRPT in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -8.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 545 weeks of data, FRPT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 77 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -3.7%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.2 billion, FRPT is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 12.3%. The stock trades at 2.6x book value.
Over the past 10.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FRPT would have grown to $662, compared to $371 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 19.7% vs 13.3% for the index — confirming FRPT as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FRPT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FRPT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying FRPT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -14.7% after 12 months (median -17.0%), compared to +8.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was +79.0% vs +30.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FRPT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FRPT has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +-3.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2015 | May 2017 | 81 | 61.5% | -14.9% | +524.8% |
| May 2022 | Feb 2024 | 95 | 55.7% | +7.5% | -0.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Ongoing | 55+ | 44.1% | Ongoing | -33.4% |
| Average | 77 | — | +-3.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRPT below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) is trading 22.6% below its 200-week moving average of $83.35. The current price is $64.54.
What is FRPT's 200-week moving average price?
Freshpet, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $83.35 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FRPT drops below its 200-week moving average?
FRPT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -3.7%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 77 weeks on average.
Is FRPT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FRPT as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 51. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 12.3%. Price-to-book is 2.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FRPT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.5 years, $100 invested in FRPT would have grown to $662, compared to $371 for the S&P 500. That's 19.7% annualized vs 13.3% for the index. FRPT has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20