FRPT
Freshpet, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Investor Relations →
Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) closed at $69.90 as of 2026-02-02, trading 16.4% below its 200-week moving average of $83.62. This places FRPT in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -16.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 78, FRPT is in overbought territory.
Over the past 539 weeks of data, FRPT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 75 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -3.7%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.4 billion, FRPT is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 11.2%. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
Share count has increased 12.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 10.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FRPT would have grown to $717, compared to $394 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 20.8% vs 14.1% for the index — confirming FRPT as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: FRPT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FRPT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying FRPT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -12.5% after 12 months (median -8.0%), compared to +3.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was +79.0% vs +30.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FRPT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FRPT has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +-3.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2015 | May 2017 | 81 | 61.5% | -14.9% | +576.7% |
| May 2022 | Feb 2024 | 95 | 55.7% | +7.5% | +8.0% |
| Mar 2025 | Ongoing | 49+ | 44.1% | Ongoing | -27.8% |
| Average | 75 | — | +-3.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02